..... . VALI disclosures . .....: 13/08/25, Stock Recommendations by Analysts and Brokers

Wednesday, August 13, 2025

13/08/25, Stock Recommendations by Analysts and Brokers

Stocks to buy today

Regarding stocks to buy today, market experts-Sumeet Bagadia, Executive Director at Choice Broking; Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager of Technical Research at Anand Rathi; and Shiju Koothupalakkal, Senior Manager of Technical Research at Prabhudas Lilladher-recommended these eight intraday stocks for today: CarTrade Tech Ltd., Zota Health Care Ltd., Avenue Supermarts Ltd., Tata Chemicals Ltd., Biocon Ltd., Gabriel India Ltd., Graphite India Ltd., and Lloyds Engineering Works Ltd.

Sumeet Bagadia's stock picks

CarTrade Tech Ltd-Bagadia recommends buying CARTRADE in cash art around ₹2336.8, keeping Stoploss at ₹2255 for a target price of ₹2500

CARTRADE has delivered a stellar performance in Tuesday session, On the daily chart, CARTRADE has successfully extended its recent rally, marking a decisive breakout from the previous resistance zone near 2,250. The bullish candlestick formation, with a close near the day's high, signals strong trend continuation potential. This move comes after a period of consolidation in late July, where prices briefly paused before resuming their upward journey.

2. Zota Health Care Ltd-Bagadia recommends buying ZOTA in cash at ₹1332. 5 keeping stop loss at ₹1280 for a target price of ₹1430

ZOTA, is currently trading at 1332.5, witnessed a stellar trading session on Tuesday, marking one of its strongest single-day gains in recent months. The stock opened at ₹1,213.00, touched a life high of 1,348.90, and sustained bullish momentum throughout the day. This up move represents a clear breakout from a prolonged consolidation phase that lasted nearly six weeks, where the stock was largely range-bound between 1,200 and 1,250. The sharp move above 1,300 confirms fresh buying interest and indicates the possibility of a new upward leg in the medium term.

Ganesh Dongre's stocks to buy today

3. Avenue Supermarts Ltd-Dongre recommends buying DMART at around ₹4252, keeping Stoploss at ₹4200 for a target price of ₹4320

In the recent short-term trend analysis of the stock, a notable bullish reversal pattern has emerged. This technical pattern suggests the possibility of a temporary retracement in the stock's price, potentially reaching around Rs. 4320. At present, the stock is maintaining a crucial support level at Rs.4200. Given the current market price of Rs. 4252, a buying opportunity is emerging. This suggests that investors might consider purchasing the stock at its current price, anticipating a rise towards the identified target of Rs. 4320.

4. Tata Chemicals Ltd-Dongre recommends buying TATACHEM at ₹945, keeping stop loss at ₹920 for a target price of ₹970

We have seen major support in this stock around Rs.920. So, at the current juncture, the stock has again seen a reversal price action formation at the Rs.945 price level, which may continue its rally till its next resistance level of Rs.970, so traders can buy and hold this stock with a stop loss of Rs.920 for the target price of Rs.970 in the upcoming weeks.

5. Biocon Ltd-Dongre recommends buying BIOCON at around ₹354, keeping stop-loss at ₹335 for a target price of ₹375

In the recent short-term trend analysis of the stock, a notable bullish reversal pattern has emerged. This technical pattern suggests that there could be a temporary retracement in the stock's price, possibly to around Rs. 375. Currently, the stock is holding a crucial support level at ₹335.

Shiju Koothupalakkal intraday stocks for today

6. Gabriel India Ltd-Koothupalakkal recommends buying GABRIEL at ₹1065 for an upside target of ₹1120, keeping the stop loss at the ₹1040 level

The stock has maintained the positive bias after the recent strong run-up witnessed, and as of now, after a short period of consolidation, it has indicated a bullish candle formation on the daily chart with huge volume participation to improve the bias, and we can expect a further rise in the coming sessions. The RSI has corrected from the overbought zone and currently has once again indicated strength with a buy signal to anticipate another round of fresh upside movement. With the chart technically looking good, we suggest buying the stock .

7. Graphite India Ltd-Koothupalakkal recommends buying GRAPHITE INDIA at ₹537 for an upside target of ₹570, keeping the stop loss at the ₹524 level.

The stock, after witnessing a short period of correction, has shown stability near the important 100-period MA at the ₹522 level and has indicated a positive bullish candle to improve the bias, anticipating a further upward move. The RSI has indicated a positive turnaround to signal a buy, and with much upside potential visible, we can expect further gains. With the chart technically looking good, we suggest buying the stock .

8. Lloyds Engineering Works Ltd-Koothupalakkal recommends buying LLOYDS ENG at ₹67.95, or an upside target of ₹73, keeping the stop loss at the 66 level

The stock, after the significant erosion, has shown signs of taking support near the ₹65.50 zone, forming a higher bottom pattern, and has indicated a pullback with improving bias, expecting a further rise in the coming sessions. The RSI has corrected quite well from the highly overbought zone and is currently well positioned, indicating a buy signal, and has immense upside potential from the current rate. With the chart technically looking good, we suggest buying the stock.

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations above are those of individual analysts or brokerage companies. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

source: mint

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Trade Cycles

The four important features of Trade Cycle are (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) Depression!

The trades cycle or business cycle are cyclical fluctuations of an economy. A full trade cycle has got four phases: (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) depression. The upward phase of a trade cycle or prosperity is divided into two stages—recovery and boom, and the downward phase of a trade cycle is also divided into two stages—recession and depression.

Phases of Trade Cycle:

The phases of trade cycle are explained with a diagram:

(1) Recovery:

In the early period of recovery, entrepreneurs increase the level of investment which in turn increases employment and income. Employment increases purchasing power and this leads to an increase in demand for consumer goods.

As a result, demand for goods will press upon their supply and it shall, thereby, lead to a rise in prices. The demand for consumer’s goods shall encourage the demand for producer’s goods.

The rise in prices shall depend upon the gestation period of investment. The longer the period of investment, the higher shall be the price rise. The rise of prices shall bring about a change in the distribution of income. Rent, wages, interest do not rise in the same proportion as prices.

Consequently, the margin of profit improves. The wholesale prices rise more than retail prices. The prices of raw materials rise more than the prices of semi-finished goods and the prices of semi-finished goods use more than the prices of finished goods.

(2) Boom:

The rate of investment increases still further. Owing to the spread of a wave of optimism in business, the level of production increases and the boom gathers momentum. More investment is possible only through credit creation. During a period of boom, the economy surpasses the level of full employment and enters a stage of over full employment.

(3) Recession:

The orders for raw materials are reduced on the onset of a recession. The rate of investment in producers’ goods industries and housing construction declines. Liquidity preference rises in society and owing to a contraction of money supply, the prices falls. A wave of pessimism spreads in business and those markets which were sometime before sellers markets become buyer’s markets now.

(4) Depression:

The main feature of a depression is a general fall in economic activity. Production, employment and income decline. The prices fall and the main factor responsible for it is, a fall in the purchasing power.

The distribution of national income changes. As the costs are rigid in nature, the margin of profit declines. Machines are not used to their full capacity in factories, because effective demand is much less. The prices of finished goods fall less than the prices of raw materials.

✳Reality Tips to Traders

1)Trading in the stock market is a marathon. 2)Protecting your capital is key. (Learn to protect first) 3)Making 0 on the day is better than losing 50k 4)Losses happen; they are part of this business. 5)It’s not you vs. the market. It’s you VS you. 6)You are your biggest enemy; learn to be mentally disciplined. 7)Don’t follow the majority; follow the correct path. 8)Traders without a stop loss end up not being traders for long. 9)There is always another trade. 10)The big money is made waiting for the right set-ups. 11)Waiting for the right trade is the most powerful strategy. 12)It is better to cut a loss than to wait to be proven right. 13)Position sizing can make or break you. 14)Worry about the downside before you even think about the upside. 15)Don’t listen to headlines

..BANKING TERMINOLOGY

There are various types of Banks: PSU Banks, Private Banks, Co-operative/Regional Banks, Small Finance Banks and Foreign Banks. When you deposit money in a bank, let's say the bank gives you an interest rate of 4%. But when the bank lends out this money, they lend it out at say, 12%. The difference of 8% in the above scenario is effectively the profit of the bank! The loans that do not pay interest for 90 days are known as Non-performing Assets. Banks have to provide for such bad loans. Structure of a Bank Asset for a Bank: The asset portion of a bank's capital includes cash, government securities, and interest-earning loans (e.g., mortgages, letters of credit, and inter-bank loans). Liabilities for a Bank: The bank's main liabilities are its capital (including cash reserves and, often, subordinated debt) and deposits. The latter may be from domestic or foreign sources (corporations and firms, private individuals, other banks, and even governments). Banks are required to maintain Liquidity with the Reserve Bank of India: SLR (Statutory Liquidity Ratio): It is the money a bank needs to preserve in the form of cash, gold or government Bonds before providing credit customers. This limitation is added by RBI on banks to make funds available to customers on-demand at your earliest convenience. Banks are required to maintain SLR at 18%. CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio): Banks are required to hold a certain proportion of their deposits in the form of cash. Banks don’t hold these as cash with themselves, but deposit such amounts with RBI / currency chests. CRR rate is at 4.5% currently. Repo Rate: The rate at which the RBI lends short-term money to the banks. The RBI through its Monetary Policy committee changes the repo rate to balance growth and Inflation. Reverse Repo rate: The rate at which banks park their short-term excess liquidity with the RBI. Now let us understand various terminologies for Banks Net Interest Income (NII): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is calculated as Interest Income – Interest Expended Net Interest Margin (NIM): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is the earning which is left after deducting the cost paid to depositors from its yields on Loans. This is denoted in % terms. The formula is Yield on Loans – Cost of funds Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR): The capital adequacy ratio (CAR) is a measure of a bank's available capital expressed as a percentage of a bank's risk-weighted credit exposures. Essentially, it is the Capital that is available to lend. Tier I Capital – In simple words this capital is freely available with the bank to lend out. Tier II Capital- This is the capital tied up somewhere and is less freely available to lend. In case of an adverse event, the bank can use this capital to lend. Under Basel III norms, a bank’s tier 1+tier 2 capital must be a minimum of 8% of its risk-weighted holdings. The minimum capital adequacy ratio, also including the capital conservation buffer, is 10.5%. Current Account Saving Account (CASA)- There is no interest paid on the Current Account and a small interest rate is paid on a savings account. The combination of both is called CASA which shows the liabilities of the bank on which it pays relatively less interest. Deposits: Bank deposits are a savings product that customers can use to hold an amount of money at a bank for a specified length of time. In return, the financial institution will pay the customer the relevant amount of interest, based on how much they choose to deposit and for how long. Now let us come to NPA. Gross NPA (GNPA): It is the total loans on which no payment has been paid for 90 days or more. GNPA % is usually shown in each Bank’s quarterly results. The percentage is basically the GNPA amount as a % of the total advances. Slippages: Slippages denote the fresh amount of loans that have turned bad in a year. The slippage ratio of a bank is calculated as Fresh accretion of NPAs during the year /Total standard assets at the beginning of the year multiplied by 100. Provisioning Coverage Ratio (PCR): This is the ratio of provisioning to GNPA and indicates the extent of funds a bank has kept aside to cover loan losses. For Instance, a company has GNPAs of Rs 100 and they have set aside 50 Rs, then the PCR is 50%. Net NPA (NNPA): The total figure left after deducting provisions made for bad loans from GNPA. (GNPA – Provisions+upgrades/writeoffs = NNPA) Special Mention Account (SMA) SMA-0 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 0 to 30 days. SMA-1 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 30-60 days. SMA-2 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 60-90 days

..... . VALI disclosures . .....

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Wednesday, August 13, 2025

13/08/25, Stock Recommendations by Analysts and Brokers

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Today's

14/08/25, The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has rolled out a game-changing set of guidelines to help customers easily reactivate dormant bank accounts and claim long-forgotten deposits.

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