03/09/26, Forex News

The Indian rupee opened higher versus the US dollar on September 3, after a massive $127 billion mobilisation through foreign-currency non-resident bank deposits far exceeded market expectations, bolstering the central bank's capacity to support the currency.

The rupee opened higher by 67 paise at 94.30 per dollar, compared with Wednesday's close of 94.97.

According to Finrex, rupee will open at 94.38 this morning and remain in the range of 94.00 to 94.75 with upticks to be sold as RBI has got sufficient armour now to keep rupee well within a range.

Only when RBI buys dollar that we will get higher levels and we may see the buying coming in only at 93.50 or lower levels.

For the day sell all upticks while importers to buy dips for near term payments else they can hold their import positions for better levels.

Asian currencies were mostly stronger against the US dollar, with the Malaysian ringgit (+0.235%) and Thai baht (+0.118%) leading the gains. The Indonesian rupiah (-0.107%) was the only currency in the basket to weaken.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell 0.05% to 99.54. The euro edged up 0.02% to $1.1589, while the yen strengthened 0.07% to 158.59 per dollar, following a 0.9% surge in the prior session

Source: Network18 

03/09/36, Share Market Today

Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty are likely to open higher on Thursday, with GIFT Nifty pointing to a positive start after three consecutive sessions of losses. A rebound across Asian equities, overnight gains on Wall Street and a modest retreat in crude oil prices are providing support. However, Brent near $95 a barrel, elevated global bond yields and lingering US-Iran tensions could cap the recovery.

GIFT Nifty was trading at 24,090 around 7:50 am, up 125 points. Indian markets extended their decline for a third consecutive session on Wednesday as the sharp surge in crude oil prices amid escalating geopolitical tensions in West Asia weighed on sentiment. The Sensex fell 373.93 points, or 0.49 percent, to 76,570.35, while the Nifty declined 141.35 points, or 0.59 percent, to 23,914.45.

The global backdrop has improved somewhat on Thursday after US President Donald Trump played down the prospect of a prolonged conflict with Iran, helping Asian stocks recover and oil prices ease from elevated levels.

Asian markets rebound after Wednesday's selloff

Asian equities staged a relief rally on Thursday following the previous session's sharp decline, with investors also awaiting fresh US economic data and central bank commentary for clues on whether the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy this month.

Written by Shaleen Agrawal 

Source:Network18

03/09/26, INDEX LEVELS

02/09/26, Gold advanced as the dollar pushed lower, with traders assessing remarks from policymakers that shed light on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate path. Bullion rose as much as 1.6% as the dollar fell following a sharp increase in the Japanese yen. A weaker US currency tends to increase gold's appeal for foreign investors as it's priced in the greenback.

 Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said there's evidence inflation continues to ease as the impact of tariffs fades while higher energy prices are not spreading to other services.

“The data recently has been encouraging,” Williams said Wednesday in an interview with CNBC. “I am actually seeing the trend in inflation moving slowly down as some of the effects of the tariffs move into the rearview mirror.”

The latest data showed US companies added jobs at a more moderate pace in August. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh last week acknowledged some pockets of concern, but said the labor market overall is consistent with full employment.

Traders are now eyeing Friday's payrolls report, which is expected to show a 55,000 increase in total payrolls in August. That would mark a turnaround from July, when nonfarm employment fell 23,000.

Bullion had declined for three consecutive sessions as renewed hostilities in the Middle East and Warsh's hawkish speech fueled expectations that the US central bank may need to raise rates to contain inflation.

Spot gold climbed 0.95% to $4,369.94 an ounce at 12:54 p.m. in New York. Silver was 1.4% higher. Platinum and palladium also gained. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the US currency, slid 0.21%.

Report by Bloomberg

02/09/26, BankNifty intraday chart for today

Expecting more continuous fall below 56600

02/09/26, Technical View on Market Momentum

Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty are likely to open on a muted note on Wednesday, with GIFT Nifty pointing to a mildly negative start as a sharp rise in crude oil prices, elevated US Treasury yields and escalating US-Iran tensions trigger a risk-off move across global markets. Steep losses in Asian equities and an overnight decline on Wall Street could add to the pressure, although continued institutional buying at home may provide some cushion.

GIFT Nifty was trading at 24,027 around 8 am, down 24 points, or 0.1 percent. Indian equities ended marginally lower for a second consecutive session on Tuesday after volatile trade. The Sensex slipped 12.99 points, or 0.02 percent, to 76,944.28, while the Nifty fell 24.60 points, or 0.10 percent, to 24,055.80.

Nifty technical outlook

Ponmudi expects the Nifty to retain a cautious-to-weak bias, with 24,150-24,200 acting as immediate resistance. The 24,000 mark remains crucial support, with a sustained break below it potentially dragging the index towards 23,900-23,800.

Institutional flows offered a positive domestic cue in the previous session. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) snapped a three-day selling streak and bought Indian equities worth Rs 1,143 crore on September 1. Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) also remained net buyers, purchasing equities worth Rs 1,846 crore during the session.

The external backdrop has deteriorated sharply since then, with Brent crude approaching $96 a barrel, the US 10-year Treasury yield nearing 4.8 percent, and geopolitical and interest-rate concerns resurfacing.

Asian markets tumble as risk-off trade deepens

Asian equities fell sharply on Wednesday as the global bond-market selloff and renewed US-Iran fighting weighed on risk appetite. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dropped 0.8 percent in early trade. South Korea's Kospi plunged 3 percent at the opening, while Japan's Nikkei 225 sank 2.2 percent.

S&P 500 e-mini futures were broadly flat after US equities extended their decline overnight.

The US 10-year Treasury yield edged higher to around 4.80 percent, as expectations of tighter US monetary policy strengthened. Fed funds futures are pricing in an implied 67 percent probability of a 25-basis-point rate increase at the US Federal Reserve's meeting in two weeks, according to Reuters.

Brent nears $96 as US-Iran conflict escalates

Crude oil has emerged as a major concern for Indian equities, with prices extending a sharp two-session surge as renewed military exchanges between the US and Iran raised fears of supply disruptions. Brent crude futures climbed 0.92 percent to $95.52 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate rose 0.89 percent to $91.02 a barrel in early trade on Wednesday.

Both contracts had surged more than $4 on Tuesday as hopes faded for a quick easing of tensions in the Middle East. Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said crude oil has become the key near-term risk for Indian equities, with WTI having risen more than 8 percent over the past two sessions following renewed US-Iran military tensions.

Wall Street slides as bond yields, crude rise

US equities extended their decline on Tuesday as the global bond selloff deepened, and crude oil prices surged. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.03 percent to 26,099.77, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.79 percent to 52,766.93. The S&P 500 declined 0.71 percent to 7,631.47.

US manufacturing activity moderated in August amid slower new orders but remained in expansionary territory, according to data released by the Institute for Supply Management.

Ponmudi said the combination of rising crude prices and US Treasury yields approaching 4.8 percent creates a challenging environment for equities, with external macroeconomic and geopolitical risks likely to dominate near-term market direction.

Written by 

Source: Network18 

Disclaimer : we advise readers  to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions

02/09/26, Index Levels

01/09/26, Gold Prices in India

Gold Rate Today in India

Today's gold price in India stands at ₹15,409 per gram for 24 karat gold (99.9% purity), ₹14,125 per gram for 22 karat gold (91.6% purity), and ₹11,557 per gram for 18 karat gold (75% purity).

Gold has long been considered a reliable hedge against inflation. Investors increasingly view it as an important investment option. Goodreturns provides gold prices in India for informational purposes only. These gold rates are updated daily and sourced from reputed jewellers across the country.

01/09/26, A newly constituted five-member bench of the National Company Law Tribunal on Tuesday stayed an order approving Zee Group founder Subhash Chandra‘s Rs 6.25-crore repayment plan

A newly constituted five-member bench of the National Company Law Tribunal on Tuesday stayed an order approving Zee Group founder Subhash Chandra‘s Rs 6.25-crore repayment plan against admitted creditor claims of over Rs 22,006 crore, as per ANI. The bench also barred him from selling or transferring his properties while the matter is heard afresh.

The order comes just a week after the tribunal had cleared the repayment proposal, a figure that drew sharp criticism from lenders given the scale of claims involved.

NCLT stays Subhash Chandra’s Rs 6.25-crore repayment plan 

The bench, headed by NCLT President Justice (retd) Anupinder Singh Grewal, issued notices to all parties, including Chandra, and sought their responses, as per PTI. It clarified that the August 25 order approving the plan cannot be given effect to for now, since no majority view had emerged among the members.

“Let notice be issued to all the parties,” the bench said, as per PTI. It added, “We also direct that the guarantor shall not alienate the properties, either directly or indirectly.”

Justice Grewal said the bench wanted to first understand the scope of the matter before proceeding further. “You can address your concerns, whatever they are. Then we will, around the next date, take up whatever questions have come up,” he told the parties present, PTI reported. 

Why NCLT formed a five-member bench to review Subhash Chandra’s insolvency case 

The case had earlier gone before a two-member division bench of Judicial Member Ashok Kumar Bhardwaj and Technical Member Reena Sinha Puri, which delivered a split verdict on the repayment plan, as per an ANI report. It was then referred to a third member, Nilesh Sharma, who on August 25 gave an opinion favouring approval.

However, the original two members subsequently found that all three members had taken materially different positions, meaning no clear majority had actually emerged, as per ANI. This led to the constitution of the larger five-member bench to resolve the deadlock.

Chandra’s plan offers Rs 6.25 crore to creditors, along with Rs 25 lakh towards insolvency resolution process costs, as per ANI. Several lenders had objected to the proposal, questioning both the low recovery amount and the voting process, including the participation of entities they allege are linked to Chandra.

Why Subhash Chandra faces Rs 22,006 crore in creditor claims?

The insolvency proceedings against Chandra stem from personal guarantees he furnished for loans taken by companies linked to the Essel Group, as per the ANI report. Indiabulls Housing Finance, now Sammaan Capital, had moved against him in 2022 after a loan to Vivek Infracon turned bad. The plea was admitted in 2024, after which several other creditors joined the proceedings.

Chandra, for his part, has said the Rs 22,006-crore figure has been widely misread, as per PTI. He maintains it reflects claims arising from personal guarantees for Essel Group companies’ borrowings, not money he personally took on.

Zee Entertainment share price: Stock falls after NCLT order 

Zee Entertainment’s stock is trading at its intraday low post the judgement. The company’s share price has been down 4.33% in the past month and it has been further down 17.73% in the past year. 

Source:FinancialExpress

01/09/26, RAJRATAN GLOBAL WIRE:

Rajratan Global Wire 1-Year Share Price Chart

Source: screened.in

There is a piece of steel wire inside every tyre that most people have probably never heard of. It is called bead wire, and its job is rather important: it holds the tyre to the rim and helps transfer the load of the vehicle from the rim to the road.

Rajratan Global Wire has spent the better part of 37 years doing little else. The company moved from steel trading into bead wire in 1989 and today supplies some of the world’s largest tyre makers, including Bridgestone, Michelin, Goodyear, Continental, Yokohama, MRF, CEAT, Apollo Tyres and JK Tyre.

That makes Rajratan an unusual kind of industrial company. It sells a product that is a small part of the cost of a tyre, but a failure can have very large consequences. And once a tyre maker has approved a supplier, changing that supplier is not as simple as asking another company to quote a lower price.

The interesting question now is what Rajratan does with that position. After spending decades becoming difficult to replace, the company is adding capacity, pushing exports, expanding in Thailand and Chennai and making its first meaningful move beyond bead wire.

The real business is not wire. It is getting approved

This is where Rajratan gets interesting. A bead wire supplier has to go through qualification before a tyre manufacturer can start using its product, and Rajratan says the process can involve multi-year qualification cycles. Changing suppliers can also mean requalifying individual tyre products.             

So, unlike a straightforward commodity business, the customer cannot necessarily switch suppliers every time somebody offers a slightly cheaper product. The wire has to consistently meet very narrow specifications, and the supplier has to be trusted over millions of metres of production

Written by Sourya Agarwal

Source: Financial Express

01/09/26, market intraday

Sensex, Nifty at open: Indian benchmark indices opened slightly lower on Tuesday, with the Sensex falling 82.88 points, or 0.11%, to 76,874.39, while the Nifty declined 43.45 points, or 0.18%, to 24,036.95.

ITC led the gainers, rising 3.84%, followed by Bharti Airtel, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Asian Paints, while Indigo, Bajaj Finserv, SBI and TCS were among the top laggards.

Sensex, Nifty before pre-open: Asian markets are trading lower in early Tuesday trade. US stock futures are largely steady, while crude oil prices remain elevated with Brent above $91 a barrel. GIFT Nifty has started the morning session down  33 points or 0.14%  at 24,193.

Indian benchmark indices closed lower on Monday, with the Sensex falling 307.24 points, or 0.40%, to 76,957.27, while the Nifty 50 declined 95.25 points, or 0.39%, to 24,080.40.

Report by Olivia Kunjumoon 

Source: Financial Express

01/09/26, Indian benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty are likely to open on a weak note on Tuesday, with GIFT Nifty seeing a modest fall in the morning trade. A renewed US-Iran fighting pushed crude oil prices above $91 a barrel, while Wall Street ended lower overnight. Mixed Asian markets and heavy foreign investor selling also weigh on sentiment. GIFT Nifty was trading at 24,166 at around 8.10 am, down 60 points, or 0.25 percent, from its previous day's close. Indian equities ended lower in the previous session following the Closing Auction Session. The Sensex fell 307.68 points, or 0.40 percent, to 76,956.83, while the Nifty declined 95.25 points, or 0.39 percent, to 24,080.40. The macro backdrop remains mixed. Rising crude prices could offset some of the support from India's stronger-than-expected GDP growth, and expectations that the US Federal Reserve could keep monetary policy tighter for longer may weigh on risk appetite across emerging markets.

Oil rises above $91 as US-Iran fighting resumes

Crude oil prices climbed on Tuesday after renewed fighting in the Middle East revived concerns around energy supplies. Brent crude rose 0.7 percent to above $91 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate gained 0.9 percent to $86.55 a barrel. The US and Iran exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month, with American forces hitting an island in the Strait of Hormuz and Iran responding with attacks on the United Arab Emirates and Jordan.

Asian markets mixed; Wall Street ends lower on inflation concerns

Asian equities traded on a mixed note on Tuesday as investors balanced geopolitical concerns against pockets of strength in regional markets. MSCI's Asia-Pacific equities gauge edged 0.3 percent higher, led by Taiwanese shares. Japan's Topix rose 0.5 percent, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.5 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 0.7 percent, while the Shanghai Composite was largely unchanged. S&P 500 futures were also little changed in Asian trade.

Wall Street ends lower as oil fuels inflation concerns

US equities declined on Monday as the jump in crude oil prices revived concerns over inflation and the possibility of tighter monetary policy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.70 percent to 53,185.90, while the S&P 500 lost 0.33 percent to 7,686.14. The Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.12 percent to 26,370.89.

Expectations around the Federal Reserve remain a major global market driver after recent signals that policymakers remain focused on controlling inflation. The US jobs report will be the next key global trigger, with investors looking for clues on the Fed's policy trajectory, Treasury yields and broader risk appetite.

Strong India GDP growth offers domestic cushion

On the domestic front, a resilient economy faces the challenging global backdrop. India's real GDP expanded 7.8 percent in the first quarter of FY27, exceeding the RBI's projection of 7 percent as well as market expectations. Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said robust domestic consumption, sustained investment activity and healthy manufacturing growth supported the stronger performance despite an increasingly challenging global environment. He expects the growth print to help cushion some of the downside risks facing Indian equities.

Nifty technical outlook

Ponmudi expects the Nifty to retain a cautious-to-weak bias, with 24,200 as the immediate resistance and 24,300-24,400 as the stronger hurdle. The 24,000 level remains crucial support, with a decisive break potentially opening the way towards 23,900-23,800.

Foreign portfolio flows remain a key concern after FIIs intensified their selling in the previous session. Foreign institutional investors offloaded nearly Rs 8,000 crore worth of Indian equities on August 31. Domestic institutional investors continued to provide support, buying equities worth Rs 4,588 crore.

Report written by Shaleen Agrawal 

Source: Network18 

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Disclaimer: we advises readers to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

01/09/26, Stocks to Watch Today

MILKY MIST DAIRY FOOD Q1 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit surges 10-fold to Rs 64.7 crore Vs Rs 6.5 crore

Revenue jumps 43.6% to Rs 973.4 crore Vs Rs 678.1 crore

LEAP INDIA  Q1 (Consolidated YoY)

Profit zooms 30.3% to Rs 24.7 crore Vs Rs 19 crore

Revenue grows 19.1% to Rs 203.4 crore Vs Rs 170.8 crore

Stocks to Watch

EPL

Blackstone-owned Epsilon Bidco, the promoter of EPL, is likely to sell up to a 26.38 percent stake in the company through a block deal worth Rs 1,985 crore at an offer price of Rs 235 per share, CNBC-TV18 reported, citing sources.

E2E Networks

E2E Networks, the AI cloud infrastructure company, has entered into a binding term sheet with an India-based Sovereign AI company for NVIDIA Blackwell cloud GPUs and allied services. The arrangement has a contract value of approximately Rs 1,000 crore and will continue through June 2029.

Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri

GRT Jewellers India has signed a share purchase agreement with the promoters of Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri (TBZ) to acquire their 74.12 percent stake in TBZ for up to Rs 1,033.71 crore. GRT Jewellers will also launch an open offer for an additional stake of around 26 percent.

NCC

The company received three orders worth a total of Rs 430.19 crore in August, pertaining to its buildings division.

Happiest Minds Technologies

Promoters Ashok Soota and Ashok Soota Medical Research LLP have entered into a share purchase agreement with ITC Infotech for the sale of 3.36 crore equity shares, representing a 22.106 percent stake in Happiest Minds Technologies, for Rs 1,329.7 crore.

As of June 2026, Ashok Soota held a 32.3 percent stake in the company, while Ashok Soota Medical Research LLP held an 11.79 percent stake.

The board has approved the amalgamation of Happiest Minds Technologies with ITC Infotech. As part of the merger, ITC Infotech will issue 25 equity shares to Happiest Minds shareholders for every 81 shares held in Happiest Minds.

Brigade Enterprises

Brigade Group has announced its entry into Coimbatore, with plans to launch a residential development spread across 5.4 acres through a joint development agreement with the landowner. The estimated gross development value (GDV) is approximately Rs 600 crore.

Cipla

Sino Biopharmaceutical's subsidiary, Chia Tai Tianqing Pharmaceutical Group (CTTQ), has entered into an exclusive licensing and supply agreement with Cipla for Rolditamig Deuderuxtecan, also known as TQB2102, a potential best-in-class HER2 bispecific antibody-drug conjugate (ADC).

Under the agreement, Cipla will receive exclusive rights to develop and commercialise TQB2102 in India, South Africa, and five other emerging markets.

NLC India

NLC India's subsidiary, NLC India Renewables, has incorporated a joint venture company with the Odisha Renewable Energy Development Agency (OREDA), named NIRL OREDA Renewables, for setting up green energy power plants, with equity participation of 51:49.

PVR Inox

The board has approved a proposal to buy back up to 20.69 lakh equity shares worth Rs 300 crore at a price of Rs 1,450 per share.

Kotak Mahindra Bank

Kotak Mahindra Bank has recommended two internal candidates to succeed Chief Executive Officer Ashok Vaswani when his term ends next year, according to Reuters, citing sources. Kotak Mahindra Bank has submitted the names of executive directors Anup Saha and Paritosh Kashyap to the Reserve Bank of India for approval.

Bulk & Block Deals

Religare Enterprises

Ashish Dhawan bought more than 36 lakh shares, representing 1.05 percent of the paid-up equity, in Religare Enterprises for Rs 85.3 crore at a price of Rs 237 per share. This was in addition to the 1.11 percent stake he purchased on Friday.

The two transactions increased his stake in Religare Enterprises to more than 7 percent, compared with the 5.24 percent stake he held as of June 2026.

Concord Biotech

DSP Mutual Fund acquired an additional 12.88 lakh shares, representing 1.23 percent of the paid-up equity, in Ahmedabad-headquartered biotechnology company Concord Biotech for Rs 180.86 crore at Rs 1,404.1 per share. The fund already held a 1.75 percent stake in the company as of June 2026.

However, Canadian corporate entity 1575773 Ontario Inc exited Concord Biotech by selling its entire holding of 20.92 lakh shares, representing a 2 percent stake, at the same price, for Rs 293.78 crore.

Shreeji Shipping Global

Gujarat-headquartered Jainam Broking acquired 10.62 lakh shares, equivalent to a 0.65 percent stake, in Shreeji Shipping Global from the promoters for Rs 68.53 crore. The shares were acquired at Rs 645.3 per share.

Promoters Ashokkumar Haridas Lal and Lal Jitendra Haridas each sold 5.31 lakh shares for Rs 34.26 crore.

PTC India

iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF, managed by BlackRock through its subsidiary BlackRock Fund Advisors, offloaded 22.69 lakh shares, representing a 0.76 percent stake in PTC India, for Rs 34.3 crore at a price of Rs 151.17 per share.

SBI Cards & Payment Services

BNP Paribas Financial Markets acquired 97.83 lakh shares, representing a 1.02 percent stake, in SBI Cards & Payment Services for Rs 632.07 crore at a price of Rs 646.04 per share.

However, BlackRock International sold 52.86 lakh shares in SBI Cards & Payment Services for Rs 342.41 crore at a price of Rs 647.68 per share, while BlackRock Global Funds offloaded 49.98 lakh shares at Rs 644.75 per share, valued at Rs 322.3 crore.

The two BlackRock transactions together represented a 1.08 percent stake worth Rs 664.72 crore.

Ather Energy

BlackRock Global Funds bought 25.99 lakh shares, representing 0.65 percent of the paid-up equity, in Ather Energy for Rs 445.31 crore at a price of Rs 1,713.02 per share.

Balkrishna Industries

BNP Paribas Financial Markets picked up 10.2 lakh shares, equivalent to a 0.52 percent stake in tyre maker Balkrishna Industries, for Rs 232.68 crore at a price of Rs 2,281.04 per share.

Astral

BNP Paribas Financial Markets acquired 37.33 lakh shares, representing a 1.39 percent stake, in building materials company Astral at Rs 1,522.79 per share, valued at Rs 568.46 crore.

Meanwhile, Societe Generale picked up 13.5 lakh shares, representing a 0.5 percent stake, in Astral for Rs 206.17 crore at a price of Rs 1,526.56 per share.

Northern Arc Capital

Foreign investors Accion Africa-Asia Investment Company, LeapFrog Financial Inclusion India, Eight Roads Investments Mauritius, and Augusta Investments sold a combined 13.12 percent stake in non-banking finance company Northern Arc Capital for Rs 589.72 crore.

Meanwhile, Societe Generale, Plutus Wealth Management, Cohesion MK Best Ideas Sub-Trust, Neo Prime Fund, Ashoka India Equity Investment Trust, India Acorn Fund, Adivam Family Trust, S Gupta Homes, Shubhi Consultancy Services, and Singularity Equity Fund I bought all 2.12 crore shares, representing the 13.12 percent stake sold by LeapFrog Financial, Eight Roads, Accion Africa, and Augusta Investments, at a price of Rs 278 per share.

Source:Network18

01/09/26, Index Levels

31/08/26, Where are gold prices headed?

 The yellow metal has seen some sharp price action lately, pulling back from the 3-month highs it surged to earlier this week. International brokerage house Goldman Sachs predicts that the price of gold may rise to $4,900 per troy ounce by the end of 2026. This implies nearly 8% upside from the current $4,550 levels. 

It is important to note that this study was released at least 5 days before US Fed Chief Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole statement on August 28. After Warsh spoke about the risks of rising inflation, the market anticipated higher interest rates ahead. As a result, gold lost its support and fell more than 3% on Friday. It remains to be seen whether the headwinds for gold will continue in the next weeks and months to push it even deeper.

According to Goldman Sachs, the yellow metal is “expected to rise amid strong demand from central banks seeking to diversify their foreign currency reserves,” coupled with the market scaling back expectations of US rate hikes in 2026. The report has based the assessment primarily on gold buying by central banks globally and the impact therein.

Gold rate: Volatile run in 2026 so far

It’s been a rather topsy-turvy year for the gold rate so far. It scaled an all-time high of $5,600/oz on January 29, 2026, and slipped all the way below $4,000 by mid-July. The gold rate has since then rallied nearly 15% from the July lows. 

Goldman Sachs expects this upward trajectory in gold prices to continue for the rest of 2026. 

Gold rate today: Central bank buying a crucial factor

The brokerage house pointed out that gold buying by Central Bank is one of the main factors supporting prices. Central banks globally “have been diversifying their holdings using gold, which is considered less likely to be frozen than reserves held in foreign currencies,” they added. 

According to Goldman, this demand for gold from central banks is a “key structural positive.” This buying rate has increased since 2022, especially after the G7 countries decided to freeze the Russian Central Bank’s assets in Europe after the country invaded Ukraine. 

According to Lina Thomas, senior commodities analyst in Goldman Sachs Research, and Daan Struyven, co-head of Global Commodities Research, this will support a multi-year uptrend in the gold rate.  “We continue to see elevated central bank gold accumulation as a multi-year trend, as central banks diversify their reserves to hedge geopolitical and financial risks, consistent with recent survey evidence,” Thomas and Struyven stated.

Goldman Sachs Research estimates that the central banks may potentially buy 50 tonnes of gold on average every month this year, and this is significantly higher than the “average of 17 tonnes per month before 2022.”

In fact, the international brokerage house explained how “Central bank purchases accelerated to 100 tonnes per month in June 2026 (on a three-month seasonally adjusted basis) from 66 tonnes the previous month.”

According to Goldman Sachs Research, “China’s central bank was the largest identifiable buyer in the market in June.”

Interestingly, Goldman Sachs’ year-end forecast at $4,900/oz, though lower than their February forecast, still follows the same metric. In a podcast in mid-February, Lina Thomas, senior commodities analyst in Goldman Sachs Research, had identified the same trigger – “For gold, we’re still looking at the central banks, whether they’re still buying.”

Gold price and interest rate expectations

The other important factor that is seen impacting gold prices is the current interest rate expectations. Historically, one has seen that gold prices tend to be under pressure when interest rates rise. 

According to Thomas and Struyven, “We expect the Fed-related headwind to abate further, as our economists expect a lower inflation trend to keep the Fed on hold this year.”

Report written by Sumana Sarkar

Source:FinancialExpress

31/08/26, INDEX LEVELS

30/08/26, HDFC price

 HDFC Bank shares edged higher on August 28, recovering after falling to their lowest level in more than a year in the previous session, as Macquarie retained its ‘Outperform' rating on the lender with a target price of Rs 1,150.

The brokerage's target implies an upside of nearly 62 percent from HDFC Bank's Thursday closing price of Rs 712. However, Macquarie flagged uncertainty over the tenure of chief executive Sashidhar Jagdishan as a key near-term overhang for the stock.

HDFC Bank shares were trading at Rs 714.55 in afternoon trade, up 0.5 percent from the previous close. The stock has fallen 27.9 percent so far in 2026, sharply underperforming the Nifty 50, which is down 7.8 percent over the same period. The private-sector lender has a market capitalisation of more than Rs 11.01 lakh crore.

The modest recovery comes after HDFC Bank shares fell 2 percent on Thursday and touched their lowest level in over a year at around Rs 710. The decline followed reports of a lawsuit filed against the bank and some of its executives in the US.

Macquarie said uncertainty surrounding the bank's leadership remains an important issue for investors, with Jagdishan's current tenure scheduled to end on October 26, 2026. The brokerage sees two possible outcomes, which it currently considers equally probable. HDFC Bank could seek either a six-month extension for Jagdishan or a full three-year renewal of his tenure.

A six-month extension could signal that the bank is considering other candidates for the top job and needs additional time to recommend a successor to the Reserve Bank of India, according to Macquarie. Such an outcome could prolong uncertainty and potentially put further pressure on HDFC Bank shares, particularly as a new CEO may require time to settle into the role.

In contrast, a full three-year extension for Jagdishan would remove the immediate leadership uncertainty. Macquarie believes the stock could find support around current levels in such a scenario, with its subsequent performance increasingly determined by an improvement in the bank's fundamentals.

The brokerage said HDFC Bank's Nomination and Remuneration Committee is expected to evaluate and select a candidate before making a recommendation to the board. The board would subsequently recommend the appointment to the RBI for approval. Macquarie added that the central bank has recently taken around 30-45 days to approve CEO appointments after receiving recommendations from bank boards.

Apart from a temporary extension of Jagdishan's tenure, Macquarie flagged the possibility of further sharp compression in margins as another key risk. Meanwhile, Puneet Sharma, who has been designated as HDFC Bank's new chief financial officer, is scheduled to join the lender on September 1.

HDFC Bank reported a 5 percent year-on-year rise in June-quarter net profit to Rs 19,060 crore, while net interest income grew 7 percent to Rs 33,534 crore. Net interest margin stood at 3.26 percent on total assets. Asset quality improved, with gross NPAs declining to 1.17 percent of advances from 1.4 percent a year earlier.

Report by Shaleen Agrawal

Desclimer: we advises traders to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions

29/08/26, Chinese authorities told Nepal's Ministry of Foreign Affairs

 China has warned Nepal that a temporary lake formed in the upper reaches of the Lhende river system could breach its banks at any time, even as rescue efforts continue following devastating flash floods along the Nepal-Tibet border.

According to an India Today report, Chinese authorities told Nepal's Ministry of Foreign Affairs that the colour of the newly formed lake had been steadily darkening, which could signal an increased risk of a breach.

"The colour of the lake that began forming the day before yesterday is continuously becoming darker. This means that it could burst," the Chinese message said.

Beijing, however, indicated that the consequences of a breach could remain limited because the lake does not contain a very large volume of water. It said that even if part of the natural dam gives way, the maximum flow entering the river system could reach 500 cubic metres per second.

"If part of the dam breaks, the maximum water flow could be 500 cubic meters per second. It will remain confined within the river's banks," the message said.

The lake was created after debris from a glacial collapse formed a natural dam near the meeting point of the Chochen river on the Chinese side and the Purepu river on the Nepali side. The glacial collapse is believed to have triggered the catastrophic flash flooding that struck parts of Nepal and Tibet earlier this week.

China's Ministry of Water Resources said the lake's water level was continuing to rise, with around 2.5 million cubic metres of water accumulated by Friday. Earlier, Chinese authorities had estimated that another 3 million cubic metres could enter the lake over the following three days.

Chinese authorities have been using drones and satellites to observe the area and have also conducted flood modelling to estimate the possible impact of a breach. On Friday, the lake began spilling into the Lhende Khola and Trishuli rivers. By noon, China's state broadcaster CCTV assessed the resulting risk as manageable.

China advised people living downstream to remain alert, while the possibility of another flood has continued to concern authorities as Nepal deals with the aftermath of Wednesday's disaster. The flash floods have killed at least 587 people in Nepal, while seven deaths have been confirmed in Tibet.

Meanwhile, Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma said 12 people from Assam who remain untraced in Nepal have now been identified by name and other details. Efforts are underway to contact them, determine their whereabouts and arrange their safe rescue.

"Till now we have been able to establish details of 12 people from Assam who are yet to be traced in Nepal. Efforts are underway to establish connection with them and safely rescue them," Sarma said in a social media post on Friday.

The list released with his update includes Rhitoupormo Brahma, Montri Basumatary, Soneswar Narzary, Rahul Daimary, Shatadal Nath, Pankaj Naug, Pankaj Barman, Arun Mahanta, Samar Bezbaruah, Dr Dipali Sarkar, Manash Kr Ghosh and Dr Tirtha Chaliha.

The 12 are from different parts of Assam, including Karbi Anglong, Golaghat, Hojai, Kamrup Metropolitan and Nalbari. Their whereabouts remain unconfirmed amid continuing rescue and relief operations, with damaged communication and transport links complicating efforts to reach people stranded or missing in the affected areas.

The Assam government is coordinating with agencies and authorities involved in the rescue operation as families await information on the safety of the 12 people

Source: Network18