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Monday, May 25, 2026

25/05/26, CRIZAC share price

Small-cap stock, Crizac share price jumped 10% to hit its upper circuit on Monday, May 25, after the company posted 50% year-on-year growth in net profits in the March quarter of the financial year ended 2025-26.

Crizac shares jumped 10% to hit their intraday high of ₹223.99 during Monday's trading session, compared to ₹203.63 at the previous market session, according to NSE data. The company announced its Q4 results in the afternoon market session.

The NSE filings showed that Crizac's net profits (attributable to the owners) jumped 50.2% to ₹75.04 crore in the fourth quarter, compared year-on-year with ₹49.93 crore in the same quarter of the previous financial year.

The company's revenue from core operations advanced 15% to ₹391.73 crore in the March quarter, compared with ₹340.58 crore in the same period a year ago, as per the exchange data.

Margin expansion in Q4

Crizac's filings showed that the company's operational level earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) expanded 42.8% to ₹93.9 crore in the fourth quarter, from ₹65.8 crore in the same period a year ago.

While the company's EBITDA margin improved by 467 basis points to 24% in the March quarter, compared to 19.3% a year earlier.

"This performance was driven by 43.0% YoY growth in applications processed, 36.5% YoY growth in active agents, and 13.8% growth in student enrolments, reflecting sustained operating momentum across our global education platform," said Vikash Agarwal, the Chairman and MD of Crizac Ltd, in the official statement.

In the official statement, Agarwal also said that the company remains actively engaged in evaluating opportunities across both new and existing geographies in an effort to target expansion of scale and technology in the sector.

Crizac share price trend

Crizac shares have delivered nearly 5% returns in the last one-month period, and the company's stock was trading 10.62% higher over the last five trading sessions on the Indian stock market.

However, the company's shares have lost 21% so far in 2026, and since its listing in 2025, the stock has dropped 32% on the market.

Shares of Crizac hit its 52-week high of ₹387.95 on September 8, 2025, while the 52-week low was at 173.35 on March 30, 2026, according to the exchange data. The company's market capitalisation (m-Cap) was trading at ₹3,919 crore as of the stock market session on Monday, May 25.

Source: Upstox 

Disclaimer: This article is purely for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

25/05/26, The equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty traded higher on Monday, as crude oil ​prices fell below $100 per barrel for ‌the first time in more than two weeks on prospects of a deal to end the ​Iran war. At around 9:30 a.m., the Sensex was up 875.35 points or 1.16 percent at 76,290.70, while the broader Nifty was at 23,980.80, up 261.50 points or 1.1 percent.

 Key factors behind market rise

1) Easing geopolitical concerns: U.S. President Donald Trump said that Washington and Iran ⁠have "largely negotiated" a memorandum of understanding on ​a peace deal that would reopen the ​Strait of Hormuz, which carried a fifth of global oil and LNG shipments before the war.

2) Crude oil prices decline: The global benchmark crude oil ​prices fell below $100 per barrel for ‌the first time in more than two weeks on prospects of a deal to end the ​Iran war.

Technical Outlook

Anand James, Chief Market Strategist at Geojit Investments, said "Successive days of close not far from 23700 in the last seven days, suggest that the odds of a range breakout are high. Two consecutive days of close above 10 day SMA encourages us to step into the new week with positivity despite seeing rejection trades through last week on every attempt to push higher. Prospects of moving into the 23900-24450 band depends on the ability to float above 23600. Inability to do so may not trigger a vertical collapse, but major support is seen far, at 22800."

Source: Network18 

25/05/26, Gold Rate Today: Gold prices rallied on Monday surging over 1 per cent as optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran peace deal injected fresh momentum into the market.

 Gold Rate Today, May 25

Gold prices rallied on Monday (May 25), surging over 1 per cent as optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran peace deal injected fresh momentum into the market.

A cooling US dollar and easing inflation concerns further bolstered the appeal of the precious metal for foreign buyers, triggering a sharp rebound from the previous week's losses.

By 5:15 AM, spot gold jumped 1.5 per cent (or USD 68) to trade at USD 4,577.15 per ounce. Meanwhile, on the domestic front, gold futures were not actively trading at the time of reporting, having settled 0.1 per cent lower at Rs 1,58,588 in the previous session.

Why Are Gold Prices Rising Today?

The current rally in bullion is driven by a unique mix of geopolitical developments and macroeconomic shifts:

1. US-Iran Peace Deal Optimism

Geopolitical tensions eased after US President Donald Trump announced that a peace deal with Iran has been "largely negotiated." While he instructed negotiators "not to rush into a deal" because "time is on our side," the progress alone has significantly shifted market sentiment.

2. Plunging Crude Oil Prices Ease Inflation Fears

The positive outlook on the US-Iran deal caused crude oil prices to plummet by 5 per cent.

  • WTI Crude dropped close to USD 90
  • Brent Crude traded near USD 98

Lower oil prices directly reduce global inflation concerns. This economic relief increases the probability of a central bank rate cut, creating a highly favourable environment for non-yielding assets like gold.

3. A Weakening US Dollar (DXY)

The sudden shift toward geopolitical optimism stripped the US Dollar of its safe-haven inflows. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, dipped 0.2 per cent to trade at 99. A weaker dollar makes gold significantly cheaper and more attractive for international buyers holding other currencies.

What is Limiting Gold's Upside?

While the momentum is firmly bullish, further gains for the precious metal are being capped by aggressive interest rate expectations.

According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders are currently pricing in a 67 per cent chance of at least one 25-basis-point US Federal Reserve interest rate hike by December. Higher interest rates generally weigh on gold prices because they increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Silver and Platinum Prices Today

Following gold's bullish trajectory, other major precious metals also recorded sharp gains, successfully reversing their recent weekly declines. Spot silver traded 3.5 per cent, or USD 2.6, higher at USD 78.11. Similarly, platinum was up 1.9 per cent, or USD 36, trading at USD 1,962.41. The rise in both metals follows the weekly decline registered by both metals.

City-Wise Gold, Silver Prices

24K, 22K and 18K Gold rate (Per 10 Grams)

City Name24k gold price today (10 grams)22k gold price today (10 grams)18k gold price today (10 grams)
Gold Price in Chennai160690147300123600
Gold Price in Bangalore159060145800119290
Gold Price in Delhi159210145950119440
Gold Price in Mumbai159060145800119290
Gold Price in Kerala159060145800119290
Gold Price in Kolkata159060145800119290
Gold Price in Hyderabad159060145800119290
Gold Price in Patna159110145850119340
Gold Price in Lucknow159210145950119440

Gold prices remained broadly consistent across major Indian cities, with Chennai recording the highest rates for 24k, 22k, and 18k gold. Bangalore, Mumbai, Kerala, Kolkata, and Hyderabad showed identical pricing trends.

Today Silver Rate in India (City-wise: 10g, 100g, 1kg)

City10 Gram Silver Rate100 Gram Silver Rate1 Kg Silver Rate
Silver Prices in Delhi2,85028,5002,85,000
Silver Prices in Mumbai2,85028,5002,85,000
Silver Prices in Kolkata2,85028,5002,85,000
Silver Prices in Chennai2,90029,0002,90,000
Silver Prices in Patna2,85028,5002,85,000
Silver Prices in Bengaluru2,85028,5002,85,000
Silver Prices in Noida2,85028,5002,85,000
Silver Prices in Chandigarh2,85028,5002,85,000
Silver Prices in Lucknow2,85028,5002,85,000

Silver prices remained largely uniform across major Indian cities, with Chennai recording the highest rates across all quantities. Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Patna, Bengaluru, Noida, Chandigarh, and Lucknow showed identical silver pricing trends.

Source: EconomicTimes

(Disclaimer: The above article is meant for informational purposes only, and should not be considered as any investment advice.We suggest readers/investors to consult their financial advisors before making any money-related decisions.)


25/05/26, EconomicTimes Report on Stocks to Watch today


Stocks to Watch Today: Indian equities are expected to see stock-specific action on Monday, with investors tracking a mix of earnings updates and corporate developments.

NTPC, Eicher Motors, Torrent Pharmaceuticals, Hindalco Industries and Fortis Healthcare are in focus after their Q4 results, while deals and regulatory updates from Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC), Adani Energy Solutions, One 97 Communications, Jindal Stainless and Lupin are also likely to drive sentiment.

Here's the list of stocks to watch in today's trading session:

Stocks to watch today

Stocks in FocusWhy in focus?
NTPCProfit Up, Revenue Flat
Eicher MotorsStrong Profit & Sales Growth
Torrent PharmaceuticalsProfit Down, Revenue Surges
Hindalco IndustriesProfit Halves, Revenue Up
Fortis HealthcareStrong Earnings Growth
Anupam Rasayan IndiaMajor Pharma Acquisition
Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC)USD 2 Billion Fundraise Plan
Adani Energy SolutionsStake Sale Worth Rs 643 Crore
One 97 CommunicationsGlobal Investors Buy Stake
Jindal StainlessSkill Development Pact Extended
Indian Oil CorporationNo Fuel Shortage
LupinFirst China Market Entry

Q4 Updates

NTPC

Profit Up, Revenue Flat

NTPC reported a 34.4 per cent rise in profit to Rs 10,615 crore, while revenue stayed largely flat, dipping 0.3 per cent to Rs 49,687.8 crore.

Eicher Motors

Strong Profit, Sales Growth

Eicher Motors posted 11.6 per cent profit growth at Rs 1,520 crore and 16 per cent revenue increase to Rs 6,080.1 crore.

Torrent Pharma

Profit Down, Revenue Surges

Torrent Pharmaceuticals saw profit fall 21.9 per cent to Rs 389 crore, while revenue jumped 41.8 per cent to Rs 4,197 crore.

Hindalco

Profit Halves Amid Revenue Growth

Hindalco Industries reported a 50.9 per cent drop in profit to Rs 2,597 crore, even as revenue rose 20.4 per cent to Rs 78,133 crore.

Fortis Healthcare

Strong Earnings Jump

Fortis Healthcare posted a 44.23 per cent rise in profit to Rs 271.19 crore, with revenue up 17.8 per cent to Rs 2,364.67 crore.

Corporate Update

Anupam Rasayan

Big Pharma Stake Deal

Anupam Rasayan India will acquire up to 43.3 per cent stake in Bliss GVS Pharma for Rs 1,369.51 crore and launch an open offer for an additional 26 per cent stake.

IRFC

Plans USD 2 Billion ECB Fundraising

Indian Railway Finance Corporation plans to raise up to USD 2 billion via external commercial borrowings, mainly in Japanese yen, to support business expansion.

Adani Energy

Stake Sale Worth Rs 643 Crore

Adani Energy Solutions saw Qatar Holding sell 48.05 lakh shares to Birla Mutual Fund for Rs 643 crore via open market transactions.

Paytm

Global Funds Buy Stake

One 97 Communications (Paytm) witnessed global investors like Goldman Sachs and Citi acquire a 1.34 per cent stake worth Rs 963 crore from existing shareholders.

Jindal Stainless

Skill Development Pact Extended

Jindal Stainless extended its agreement with the Haryana government to promote skill development in stainless steel applications and manufacturing.

Indian Oil

Confirms No Fuel Shortage

Indian Oil Corporation said petrol and diesel supplies remain stable, calling reported shortages localised and temporary due to demand-supply mismatches.

Lupin

First China Market Entry

Lupin received approval from China's NMPA for Oseltamivir Phosphate, marking its first product launch in the Chinese market.

(Disclaimer: The above article is meant for informational purposes only, and should not be considered as any investment advice. We suggest readers/investors to consult their financial advisors before making any money-related decisions.)

25/05/26, Market may trade with Positive Bias this week


Indian equity markets are expected to consolidate with a positive bias in the week ahead. While global headwinds and intermittent volatility continue to weigh on sentiment, supportive domestic cues - particularly the ongoing earnings season and steady domestic inflows - are providing a cushion on the downside.

However, crude touching multi-year highs of ~$120 per barrel, rupee near record lows, and persistent FII outflows remain key near-term overhangs.

In this backdrop, stock-specific action is likely to dominate, driven by the ongoing earnings season. Key results due this week include Larsen & Toubro, Mahindra & Mahindra, Hero MotoCorp, Bajaj Auto, Lupin, Dabur, Shree Cement, Bank of Baroda and CG Power among others. Additional US-focused economic data to be released this week include S&P Global Services PMI, non-manufacturing PMI, and employment data.

Last week, equities demonstrated resilience, with the Nifty 50 closing with modest gains of +0.4% despite persistent global macro headwinds. The index traded in a broad range, with downside supported by sustained DII buying that offset FII outflows, alongside support from the ongoing earnings season.

Broader markets mirrored this resilience, as the Nifty Midcap 100 rose +0.7% and the Nifty Smallcap 100 gained +2.5%, both ending the week in positive territory. On a monthly basis, markets delivered a strong rebound, with the Nifty 50 gaining +7.5%, while the Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 outperformed with returns of +13.6% and +18.4%, respectively.

Sectorally, Nifty Pharma was the outperformer for the week [+3.6%], benefiting from its defensive characteristics and rupee tailwind. PSU Banks were the notable laggard [-6.3%] for the week, after the RBI rejected industry requests to defer the implementation of its Expected Credit Loss (ECL) framework or soften its provisioning floors.

The ECL framework - introduced last year and effective April 1, 2027 - shifts banks from the current incurred-loss model to a forward-looking approach, requiring a minimum 5% provision on Stage 2 assets against the current 0.4%. PSBs, with lower provision buffers and a higher share of marginal credit, are disproportionately exposed relative to private peers.

The Q4 FY26 results season has been broadly steady so far. Of the 61 companies in MOFSL's coverage universe that have reported - including 17 Nifty-50 constituents - Sales, EBITDA and PAT have grown 12%, 10% and 12% respectively, marginally ahead of estimates. Of the 61 companies, 29 have exceeded PAT estimates while 12 have missed. BFSI has been the standout, with earnings growth of ~18% led by private banks and NBFC-lending. Earnings are expected to drive stock-specific action going forward.

Crude oil at multi-year highs - Brent touching $120 per barrel intraweek - remained the dominant macro variable, simultaneously pressuring the rupee, widening the current account and lifting inflation expectations.

The rupee hit a fresh all-time low, reflecting the two-variable pressure that has persisted through April - elevated crude and persistent FII outflows exceeding Rs 69,000 crore for the month. A sustained recovery in the rupee requires either a meaningful crude pullback or credible geopolitical de-escalation - neither of which appears imminent.

Globally, the US Fed, Bank of Japan, and ECB held rates last week, delivering uniformly hawkish messages as the energy price shock has raised the threshold for rate cuts. For India, sustained dollar strength and a narrower interest rate differential limit the RBI's room for easing even if domestic conditions evolve.

Defence and shipbuilding continue as strong structural themes. India is set to acquire Russian R-37M long-range air-to-air missiles in a $1.2 billion deal.

Recent engagements - including progress on a submarine cooperation roadmap with Germany, agreements with South Korea on shipbuilding, semiconductors and defence, and potential talks with Italy - along with the upcoming Quad ministerial meeting, underscore India's push toward greater indigenisation, technology partnerships, and export opportunities. A robust order pipeline and improving execution are expected to keep investor focus on these areas.

Source: DeccanHerald 

The writer is Head of Research, Wealth Management, MOFSL.

25/05/26, Market This Week


Markets may witness some volatility ahead of the monthly expiry this week, although gradual upside could emerge if crude oil prices soften, the rupee continues stabilising towards the 95-96/USD range, and constructive progress in the ongoing US-Iran negotiations sustains.

However, mixed signals from the talks, elevated Brent crude prices and volatile Foreign Institutional Investor flows are likely to keep investor sentiment cautious.

Markets will also monitor the Reserve Bank of India's expected record surplus transfer of Rs 2.9-3.2 lakh crore to the government for FY26, supported largely by gains from profitable US dollar sales during its intervention to stabilise the rupee. While the payout could provide additional fiscal space and support government spending without sharply increasing borrowing; however, elevated crude oil prices, rupee weakness and geopolitical risks may continue to pressure India's fiscal position despite the windfall.

This week, key triggers include the Quad Foreign Ministers' Meeting in New Delhi, which could support defence and semiconductor deal flow, alongside the FOMC Minutes, US GDP and PCE inflation data, which will shape rate cut expectations, emerging market flows and the rupee trajectory. India's April trade deficit data will also be tracked closely amid elevated crude oil prices.

An Iran ceasefire or Hormuz resolution remains the single binary that would simultaneously re-rate crude, the rupee, and equity multiples; until that materialises, consolidation with a mild positive bias remains the base case. Last week, Nifty 50 ending marginally higher at +0.3% week-on-week, while broader markets remained mixed, with the Midcap 100 outperforming +1.4% and the Smallcap 100 declining 0.4%. The Nifty IT index surged over 4.3% this week, driven by a depreciating Rupee reaching record lows and positive spillover from Wall Street's technology.

The week's defining macro development was Brent crude's sharp intraweek swing - from $107 to $102 across two sessions before partially recovering to approximately $104.52 on May 22 - as growing optimism around US-Iran talks gaining ground briefly pulled prices lower. A sustained move below $100 would meaningfully ease the pressure on the rupee, inflation expectations, and equity valuations simultaneously - making the Iran negotiation track the single most consequential variable for Indian markets in the weeks ahead.

The rupee bore the sharpest impact of the week's macro crosscurrents. The currency breached a fresh all-time low of 96.89 on May 20, driven by elevated crude import costs and sustained Foreign Institutional Investor outflows, before RBI intervened via offshore dollar sales on May 21, bouncing the rupee to ~95.8. To address the banking system liquidity drained by heavy spot intervention, the Reserve Bank subsequently announced a $5 billion USD/INR buy-sell swap auction for May 26 at a three-year tenor - a structural liquidity management measure rather than a one-off defence.

India's 10-year government securities yield held at approximately 7.1% against the US 10-year at approximately 4.6%, a spread of around 250 basis points that is near historic lows - driven by rising US yields rather than weakening Indian bonds. Spread compression at this level, combined with rupee depreciation, directly reduces the rupee-adjusted return on Indian fixed income for foreign investors, which goes a meaningful way in explaining the persistence of Foreign Institutional Investor outflows despite reasonable domestic fundamentals.

On the domestic demand side, India's peak power demand touched 265.44 GW on May 20 and crossed 270.82 GW on May 21 - the fourth consecutive all-time high and above the Power Ministry's projected seasonal ceiling of 270 GW - as a severe heatwave swept large parts of the country. For investors, it reinforces the near-term earnings visibility for power utilities, transmission and distribution players, and consumer durables names exposed to cooling products. The energy and capital goods complex more broadly remains well-supported by a combination of domestic policy tailwinds, strong order book visibility, and an acute seasonal demand catalyst that is playing out in real time.

Source: DeccanHerald

(The writer is Head of Research, Wealth Management, MOFSL)

Sunday, May 24, 2026

24/05/26, 10 Quotes

 Swami Vivekananda was a 19th-century Indian Hindu monk, philosopher, and spiritual leader who people rever even today. He became one of the most influential voices in modern Indian history. He was born as Narendranath Datta in Calcutta in 1863. Very early on, he was interested in Western rationalism and Indian spirituality.

The life-changing moment was when he became the foremost disciple of the mystic saint Ramakrishna Paramahamsa. The latter taught him that all religions lead to the same truth and that serving humanity is the highest form of worship
Vivekananda became famous in September 1893 when he addressed the Parliament of the World's Religions in Chicago. In that speech, he introduced Vedanta and Yoga to the Western world and positioned Hinduism as a universal, inclusive philosophy at a time when Indian civilization was routinely dismissed under colonial rule.

Even today his words resonate with so many people cuttinga cross religions and age groups. To feel inspired and motivated, read some of the words of wisdom that he had to impart.

10 Swami Vivekananda quotes to feel inspired

  • “Take up one idea. Make that one idea your life; dream of it; think of it; live on that idea. Let the brain, the body, muscles, nerves, every part of your body be full of that idea, and just leave every other idea alone. This is the way to success, and this is the way great spiritual giants are produced.”
  • “All power is within you; you can do anything and everything. Believe in that, do not believe that you are weak; do not believe that you are half-crazy lunatics, as most of us do nowadays. You can do any thing and everything, without even the guidance of any one. Stand up and express the divinity within you.”
  • “The great secret of true success of true happiness, is this: the man or woman who asks for no return, the perfectly unselfish person, is the most successful.”
  • “The greatest sin is to think yourself weak”

  • “You cannot believe in God until you believe in yourself.”
  • “Feel nothing, know nothing, do nothing, have nothing, give up all to God, and say utterly, 'Thy will be done.' We only dream this bondage. Wake up and let it go.”
  • “All differences in this world are of degree, and not of kind, because oneness is the secret of everything.”
  • “Ask nothing; want nothing in return. Give what you have to give; it will come back to you, but do not think of that now.”
  • "You have to grow from the inside out.  None can teach you, none can make you spiritual. There is no other teacher but your own soul.”
  • “In a day, when you don't come across any problems - you can be sure that you are travelling in a wrong path”
Article by Shreya Garg 

24/05/26, Rupee Depreciation


The critical stress area for the Indian economy in the previous financial year and into FY27 has been the value of the rupee. First it was the tariff hit on India that led to fears of a export slump and the rupee depreciated. There were hopes that the Indian currency would improve after the tariffs go. The Supreme Court of the US struck down the tariffs and yet there was not much improvement in the INR.

So what was happening? The stress for the economy is in fact not the current account but the capital account. Capital flows have significantly weakened and this is not a post war phenomenon. Even before the war, balance of payment (BoP) data reveals that the capital account was witnessing outflows, especially in Q3FY26, when the net outflows were at US$ 10 billion. The outflows on account of the FPI flows have worsened in Q4FY26, and this has continued even in Q1FY27. The fear is that the net outflows from the capital account can continue. The reason is partly global and partly local.
First, the globe is suffering from a fiscal crisis with sovereign debt levels elevated in USA and Europe. This was due to the government expenses in the Covid period when the focus for the Western world was to push cash in the hands of the people, to fight the crisis. For the USA, recent Pentagon briefings indicate that operational expenses are running at an estimated US$ 25 billion, with early estimates suggesting the initial weeks burned roughly US$ 890 million per day. This is a fiscal cost and further the Trump administration is forced to return the tariffs collected before the Supreme Court struck down the Trump tariffs as illegal.

This high fiscal burden anyways meant higher US Treasury yields. Now comes the war and the elevated oil prices is hurting US inflation on the energy costs and raising inflation risks in the economy. Markets are now pricing in for a Fed rate increase around October/December 2026, something that was not on the table before the war broke out and oil prices ramped up. Indeed, with US Treasury yielding high levels, would necessarily mean slowing down of flows to the EM economies, including India. Further, global flows have diverted to economies that have been at the forefront of AI investments.

Measures from the government have focused on driving austerity measures, thereby saving foreign exchange resources. On the RBI's front, the aim was to weed out speculative demand from the currency market, while capping the Net Open Positions of the banking sector to US$ 100 million. Recent measures have also targeted to reduce the imports of gold.

Gold imports in FY26 stood at US$ 72 billion and imports in April were reported at US$ 5.6 billion, still a strong 83.8 percent MoM growth and a share of 7.8 percent in total imports. In FY26 average gold imports stood at 8.9 percent of total imports, higher than 7.8 percent in FY25 and 6.6 percent in FY24. India remains one of the largest bullion markets and thereby weighs heavy on the import bill.

Given the continuing depreciation pressure on the currency, and with little wriggle room to increase capital flows, the government has decided to tighten the gold import volumes to gain ease the current account deficit (CAD). Thus, government has hiked import duty on gold and silver imports to 10 percent from 5 percent, and Agricultural and Infrastructure Development Cess (AIDC) to 5 percent from 1 percent earlier, taking the total effective import duty to 15 percent with effect from May 13.

Further, import quantity restriction of 100 kg has been imposed on manufacturers, including in SEZ under Advance Authorization scheme. Subsequent authorizations are only permitted if at least 50 percent of export obligations under previous licence has been utilized. These measures come on the top of dore importers awaiting licence renewals and the earlier waiver given to banks on IGST payments have not been reinstated. Our gold team thinks that with all these restrictions, the volume of gold imports can crash to around 420 tonnes in FY27, from 720 tonnes in FY26.

Some relief for CAD, but challenge on the capital flows may continue. Incorporating the volume view from our gold desk, we now anticipate gold imports to value at US$ 57 billion, compared to our earlier estimate of US$ 80 billion, a savings of around US$ 23 billion. The price hike on petrol and diesel, however, is not expected to lead to significant gains in terms of lowering crude import volumes.

Our calculations now indicate a CAD/GDP of 1.7 percent, from our earlier estimate of 2 percent, with assumption of oil at US$ 95 per barrel. The challenges on the capital account side are expected to continue, though the BoP deficit is now anticipated lower at USD 48 bn with the given assumption on oil.

Surely, the gold import restrictions would ease the pressure on INR but not completely take it away, unless the BoP gap is bridged. We do not think that the RBI would use interest rate as a tool to address currency depreciation pressures, while expensive ways out could be to garner resources through FCNR (B) route as was done in 2013.

But foreign exchange resources are still healthy at US$ 689 billion and policy makers can still wait for some time before taking any such drastic measures. Having said that, given the current thoughts on the Balance of Payments gap, we anticipate USD/INR at 97.00-97.50 by close of H1FY27.
Report by Indranil Pal of Network18 

24/05/26, Peace deal with Iran!


US President Donald Trump said that a peace deal with Iran has been “largely negotiated” and he plans to announce an agreement shortly that would reopen the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

"An Agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization between the United States of America, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the various other Countries," Trump wrote on Truth Social, referring to multiple Middle East nations. "In addition to many other elements of the Agreement, the Strait of Hormuz will be opened."

Earlier, Iran said talks on a peace deal with the US, focused on ensuring fighting ends on all fronts, were progressing and that other key points of contention would be ironed out at a later stage.

Pakistan and several Arab nations have been pushing negotiations toward a bigger deal that would extend a fragile ceasefire that has largely held for six weeks.

Trump met Saturday with advisers at the White House after speaking with leaders from a number of regional powers, including Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Pakistan and Turkey, as well as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, about what he called a “Memorandum of Understanding pertaining to PEACE.”

Iran had indicated that a final draft of an agreement text was under review. Iranian state television cited Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei as saying. “Over the past week, the process has been moving toward a convergence of views.”

It remains unclear how key differences, including the fate of Iran's nuclear program and Tehran's calls for sanctions relief, will be addressed, with Baghaei saying those matters aren't currently on the table. The two sides will also need to agree on how the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial passageway for global energy supplies that has remained largely shuttered since the war began on Feb. 28, should be administered.

“There's been some progress,” and it's possible an announcement will be made in coming days, Secretary of State Marco Rubio told reporters in India on Saturday, adding that the US remains adamant that Iran can never have a nuclear weapon, must hand over its highly enriched uranium and ships must be allowed to pass freely through the strait. “The president's preference is always to solve problems such as these through a negotiated diplomatic solution.”

Iran has rejected demands to give up its uranium and halt enrichment, while insisting that it has no intention of building an atomic bomb, and wants to levy fees on ships passing through Hormuz.

Tehran is also demanding that the US release a “significant portion” of Tehran's assets that are blocked abroad as a first step, with a “transparent” process for unfreezing the rest, the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported.

The war began when the US and Israel launched air strikes on Iran. Tehran responded with missile and drone attacks on countries in the Persian Gulf and further afield. Thousands of people were killed, the bulk of them in Iran and Lebanon.

A lasting peace deal has remained elusive so far, keeping global energy markets on edge and oil prices elevated above $100 a barrel. The UAE has joined Qatar and Saudi Arabia in appealing to Trump to allow more time for negotiations, according to several people familiar with the matter.

Trump has also been facing growing domestic political pressure to end the conflict, particularly ahead of the November midterm elections that will determine the control of Congress. Opposition to renewed hostilities has heightened among Americans upset about the sharp rise in gasoline prices.

Source: Network18 

Saturday, May 23, 2026

23/05/26, For years, Kiyosaki(Rich Dady Poor Dady author) has repeatedly advocated holding real assets such as gold, silver, and Bitcoin instead of relying solely on paper currencies or conventional financial assets. His latest comments once again reinforce that long-standing view.

Gold, silver prices on Friday,23/5/26:

Gold prices declined on Friday and were on track to record a second consecutive weekly loss as rising crude oil prices kept inflation worries elevated and strengthened expectations of a possible US interest rate hike.

Spot gold slipped 0.6% to $4,515.83 per ounce, after dropping as much as 1% earlier in the trading session. The yellow metal has fallen around 0.4% so far this week. US gold futures for June delivery also ended lower, settling 0.4% down at $4,523.20 per ounce. Meanwhile, spot silver declined 1.1% to $75.85 per ounce.

Crude oil prices moved higher after investors remained sceptical about the possibility of a breakthrough in ongoing US-Iran peace negotiations, keeping concerns over energy supply disruptions alive. At the same time, benchmark US 10-year Treasury yields trimmed earlier declines and continued hovering near their highest levels in more than a year, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.

Why gold and silver bulls are gaining attention again

The renewed interest in precious metals comes as markets navigate an increasingly uncertain macroeconomic backdrop marked by volatile oil prices, geopolitical tensions and concerns over slowing global growth.

Central banks across the world have also continued increasing gold reserves in recent years as part of diversification efforts away from the US dollar, further strengthening the bullish narrative around the metal.

Silver, meanwhile, has attracted growing investor interest because of its dual role as both a precious metal and an industrial commodity widely used in solar energy, electronics and electric vehicles.

The broader message behind Kiyosaki's statement is that market crashes and economic disruptions often create wealth-building opportunities for investors who are positioned correctly ahead of major shifts.

His reference to Jim Rickards is also significant because Rickards has long argued that excessive debt creation, currency debasement and geopolitical fragmentation remain major risks for the global monetary system.

At the same time, projections such as gold reaching $100,000 per ounce or silver climbing to $200 remain highly speculative and would likely require extraordinary economic or monetary disruptions to materialise.

Kiyosaki's latest warning reflects a broader narrative that has increasingly gained traction among several global macro investors - the belief that traditional fiat currencies and financial systems could face mounting pressure if inflation remains elevated and global debt levels continue to rise.

Source:Mint

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of us.  We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

23/05/26, Indian Market under FPI's Selling Pressure


Foreign investors have continued to pull money out of Indian equities because of high crude oil prices, inflationary pressures, weak earnings prospects, rupee depreciation, and limited participation in AI trade, according to experts.

FPIs (foreign portfolio investors) have sold Indian equities worth over ₹2,20,000 crore so far in 2026, after offloading ₹1,66,286 crore in equities last year, according to data available on NSDL.

Meanwhile, domestic institutional investors (DIIs) have consistently bought Indian equities during this period, helping offset the impact of heavy foreign outflows. Persistent FPI selling continues to weigh on the Indian stock market's performance. So how should retail investors navigate such a trend? Here's what investment experts have to say.

So where is the global capital going and why?

According to Priyank Sharma, a Sebi-registered research analyst, a large part of the global capital is currently moving towards artificial intelligence and semiconductor-driven markets such as Taiwan and South Korea. In these countries, companies such as TSMC, Samsung, and SK Hynix are attracting strong flows due to the AI boom.

However, Sharma also noted that these current FPI outflows should not be viewed as a direct rejection of India's growth story. "India is facing pressure from relatively higher valuations and global risk-off sentiment, but domestic fundamentals like consumption recovery, government capex, and banking stability remain intact. So overall, I see this as a temporary allocation shift by global investors," he told Mint.

Sharma also noted that valuation is a key concern in the Indian market right now, which is prompting global investors to shift money towards cheaper markets. When compared with emerging markets like China, South Korea, and Taiwan, Indian equities are still trading at a premium valuation, he said.

Are retail investors underestimating risks while continuing to buy amid FPI selling?

The rise in SIP participation reflects improving financial discipline among Indian investors, said Harendra Zatakia, a Sebi registered investment advisor and the Founder of Wealth Aligned Financial Advisory. However, investors should avoid assuming markets will move only in one direction, he warned.

"Many retail investors have largely experienced a strong bull market environment and may not yet have seen prolonged periods of volatility. The focus should remain on disciplined investing through proper asset allocation, diversification, risk appetite and suitability rather than reacting to short term market narratives or geopolitical noise," he noted.

Zatakia also highlighted that market themes keep changing rapidly, like a few months ago markets were focused on defence, then commodities, then gold, and now AI-related themes dominate discussions. Hence, long-term wealth creation cannot be driven by constantly changing trends, he said.

Should Indian retail investors also increase international exposure?

Both experts noted that while international exposure can play an important role in diversification and reducing concentration risk, Indian investors should not abandon Indian equities entirely.

"It also allows investors to participate in global sectors and businesses that may not be adequately represented in Indian markets. However, retail investors should avoid changing portfolios purely based on temporary FPI flows or short term global themes," Zatakia said.

He also cautioned that international investing also comes with currency risk. While rupee depreciation can benefit international investments, a stronger rupee may reduce gains when foreign investments are converted back into Indian currency. Zatakia added that some segments of developed markets like the US are currently trading at elevated valuations, just like India, and thus international allocation should not be driven by recent market performance alone.

Meanwhile Sharma noted that for long-term investors, volatility is part of the equity cycle. Hence instead of making aggressive allocation changes based on short-term uncertainty, investors who are heavily concentrated in mid- and small-cap equities should use this phase to rebalance their portfolios, as a mix of equity, debt, and gold can help manage volatility more effectively.

Which segments of Indian markets still look attractive?

Investors are advised to avoid being fixated on speculative themes. Instead, they should focus on businesses with strong balance sheets, healthy cash flows and reasonable valuations, Zatakia said.

Giving certain examples, here are a few themes both experts noted:

  • Domestic consumption-linked sectors may continue to benefit from India's long term structural growth
  • Financial services remain a key long-term theme backed by rising formalisation and rapid digital adoption.
  • Manufacturing could gain from government push, supply-chain diversification and "Make in India" initiatives.
  • Healthcare and pharma remain attractive after the correction, supported by India's export opportunity in generics and API manufacturing.
  • Telecom continues to draw investors due to improving ARPU, 5G monetisation, and a stable market structure.
  • Capital goods and infrastructure also look positive as government capex and infrastructure spending continue to support long-term growth visibility.
  • Consumption-focused sectors could benefit from improving rural demand, tax relief measures, and recovery in spending trends.

"The key point for retail investors is that FPI flows are often short-term and theme-driven, while long-term wealth creation comes from staying invested in fundamentally strong sectors and businesses," Sharma noted.

Source: Mint

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