..... . VALI disclosures . .....: 01/12/25, Bullion News

Monday, December 1, 2025

01/12/25, Bullion News

Gold rates in India rose sharply on Monday, December 1, amid global economic uncertainties and continued strong domestic demand. Gold prices in India today have risen to Rs 13,048 per gram for 24 karat gold, Rs 11,960 for 22 karat gold, and Rs 9,786 for 18 karat gold.

Spot gold rose to a one-month high of $4,220 in response to dovish Fed signals, weaker economic data, and the growing likelihood of a December rate cut, indicating more easing.

Gold Prices In India Today

Gold rates in India for 24k of 10 grams reached Rs 1,30,480 today compared to Rs 1,29,820 yesterday, representing a price jump of Rs 660. As a result, 24k of 100 grams of gold in India on Monday has become costlier by Rs 6,600 to price at Rs 13,04,800.

The price of 22k of 10 grams of gold in India was Rs 1,19,600 on Monday compared to Rs 1,19,000 yesterday, a rise of Rs 600. As a result, the price of 22k of 100 grams of gold has gone up by Rs 6,000 to Rs 11,96,000.

18k of 10 grams of gold will cost Rs 97,860 today as opposed to Rs 97,370 yesterday, indicating a price surge of Rs 490. As a consequence, 18k of 100 grams of gold will now cost Rs 9,78,600, which is Rs 4,900 costlier than yesterday.

The price of silver in India today is Rs 188 per gram and Rs 1,88,000 per kilogram, which was Rs 185 and Rs 1,85,000 yesterday, respectively.

MCX Gold Outlook Today

"On the technical front, MCX gold has seen a symmetrical triangle breakout in Friday's session. With yesterday's close, it has successfully moved above the falling resistance line, indicating a potential trend reversal. It is also picking up momentum on the daily chart, and if the current rally sustains, it could move on to test its all-time high levels in the coming sessions. Immediate support is placed at 125,500, while resistance lies at 127,940-129,480- 130,750. Traders can buy MCX gold near 125,500 for targets of 127,940-129,480-130,750. Any sustained weakness below 125,500 will warrant a review of the current view," commented Abhishek M Pelu - Research Analyst at Way2Wealth Brokers.

Spot Gold Outlook Today

"Spot Gold is likely to trade with the positive bias and rise towards $4250 level on expectation of further weakness in dollar and softening of US treasury yields across curve. Further, prices may rally on expectation of weaker set of economic data from US. US Manufacturing PMI is forecasted to show that activity in sector continued to contract," commented the technical research analysts of ICICI Direct.

"Recent batch of economic data from US has raised concerns over economic slowdown, bolstering hopes for another rate cut in December meeting. As per CME FedWatch tool traders are now pricing almost 86% chance of a rate cut in December, up from 71% a week ago. Moreover, prices may rally on strong central bank demand for gold and as the concern over Fed independence resurfaced," they further added.

MCX Silver Outlook Today

"MCX Silver March is expected to rise towards ₹177,000-₹178,000 level as long as it stays above ₹173,000 level," recommended the technical research analysts of ICICI Direct.

Report made by Vipul Das, www.goodrreturns.in

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations expressed are solely those of the individual analysts or entities. We do not guarantee, endorse or take responsibility for the accuracy, completeness or reliability of any content, nor do we provide any investment advice or solicit the purchase or sale of securities. All information is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should be independently verified from licensed financial advisors before making any investment decisions.

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Trade Cycles

The four important features of Trade Cycle are (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) Depression!

The trades cycle or business cycle are cyclical fluctuations of an economy. A full trade cycle has got four phases: (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) depression. The upward phase of a trade cycle or prosperity is divided into two stages—recovery and boom, and the downward phase of a trade cycle is also divided into two stages—recession and depression.

Phases of Trade Cycle:

The phases of trade cycle are explained with a diagram:

(1) Recovery:

In the early period of recovery, entrepreneurs increase the level of investment which in turn increases employment and income. Employment increases purchasing power and this leads to an increase in demand for consumer goods.

As a result, demand for goods will press upon their supply and it shall, thereby, lead to a rise in prices. The demand for consumer’s goods shall encourage the demand for producer’s goods.

The rise in prices shall depend upon the gestation period of investment. The longer the period of investment, the higher shall be the price rise. The rise of prices shall bring about a change in the distribution of income. Rent, wages, interest do not rise in the same proportion as prices.

Consequently, the margin of profit improves. The wholesale prices rise more than retail prices. The prices of raw materials rise more than the prices of semi-finished goods and the prices of semi-finished goods use more than the prices of finished goods.

(2) Boom:

The rate of investment increases still further. Owing to the spread of a wave of optimism in business, the level of production increases and the boom gathers momentum. More investment is possible only through credit creation. During a period of boom, the economy surpasses the level of full employment and enters a stage of over full employment.

(3) Recession:

The orders for raw materials are reduced on the onset of a recession. The rate of investment in producers’ goods industries and housing construction declines. Liquidity preference rises in society and owing to a contraction of money supply, the prices falls. A wave of pessimism spreads in business and those markets which were sometime before sellers markets become buyer’s markets now.

(4) Depression:

The main feature of a depression is a general fall in economic activity. Production, employment and income decline. The prices fall and the main factor responsible for it is, a fall in the purchasing power.

The distribution of national income changes. As the costs are rigid in nature, the margin of profit declines. Machines are not used to their full capacity in factories, because effective demand is much less. The prices of finished goods fall less than the prices of raw materials.

✳Reality Tips to Traders

1)Trading in the stock market is a marathon. 2)Protecting your capital is key. (Learn to protect first) 3)Making 0 on the day is better than losing 50k 4)Losses happen; they are part of this business. 5)It’s not you vs. the market. It’s you VS you. 6)You are your biggest enemy; learn to be mentally disciplined. 7)Don’t follow the majority; follow the correct path. 8)Traders without a stop loss end up not being traders for long. 9)There is always another trade. 10)The big money is made waiting for the right set-ups. 11)Waiting for the right trade is the most powerful strategy. 12)It is better to cut a loss than to wait to be proven right. 13)Position sizing can make or break you. 14)Worry about the downside before you even think about the upside. 15)Don’t listen to headlines

..BANKING TERMINOLOGY

There are various types of Banks: PSU Banks, Private Banks, Co-operative/Regional Banks, Small Finance Banks and Foreign Banks. When you deposit money in a bank, let's say the bank gives you an interest rate of 4%. But when the bank lends out this money, they lend it out at say, 12%. The difference of 8% in the above scenario is effectively the profit of the bank! The loans that do not pay interest for 90 days are known as Non-performing Assets. Banks have to provide for such bad loans. Structure of a Bank Asset for a Bank: The asset portion of a bank's capital includes cash, government securities, and interest-earning loans (e.g., mortgages, letters of credit, and inter-bank loans). Liabilities for a Bank: The bank's main liabilities are its capital (including cash reserves and, often, subordinated debt) and deposits. The latter may be from domestic or foreign sources (corporations and firms, private individuals, other banks, and even governments). Banks are required to maintain Liquidity with the Reserve Bank of India: SLR (Statutory Liquidity Ratio): It is the money a bank needs to preserve in the form of cash, gold or government Bonds before providing credit customers. This limitation is added by RBI on banks to make funds available to customers on-demand at your earliest convenience. Banks are required to maintain SLR at 18%. CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio): Banks are required to hold a certain proportion of their deposits in the form of cash. Banks don’t hold these as cash with themselves, but deposit such amounts with RBI / currency chests. CRR rate is at 4.5% currently. Repo Rate: The rate at which the RBI lends short-term money to the banks. The RBI through its Monetary Policy committee changes the repo rate to balance growth and Inflation. Reverse Repo rate: The rate at which banks park their short-term excess liquidity with the RBI. Now let us understand various terminologies for Banks Net Interest Income (NII): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is calculated as Interest Income – Interest Expended Net Interest Margin (NIM): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is the earning which is left after deducting the cost paid to depositors from its yields on Loans. This is denoted in % terms. The formula is Yield on Loans – Cost of funds Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR): The capital adequacy ratio (CAR) is a measure of a bank's available capital expressed as a percentage of a bank's risk-weighted credit exposures. Essentially, it is the Capital that is available to lend. Tier I Capital – In simple words this capital is freely available with the bank to lend out. Tier II Capital- This is the capital tied up somewhere and is less freely available to lend. In case of an adverse event, the bank can use this capital to lend. Under Basel III norms, a bank’s tier 1+tier 2 capital must be a minimum of 8% of its risk-weighted holdings. The minimum capital adequacy ratio, also including the capital conservation buffer, is 10.5%. Current Account Saving Account (CASA)- There is no interest paid on the Current Account and a small interest rate is paid on a savings account. The combination of both is called CASA which shows the liabilities of the bank on which it pays relatively less interest. Deposits: Bank deposits are a savings product that customers can use to hold an amount of money at a bank for a specified length of time. In return, the financial institution will pay the customer the relevant amount of interest, based on how much they choose to deposit and for how long. Now let us come to NPA. Gross NPA (GNPA): It is the total loans on which no payment has been paid for 90 days or more. GNPA % is usually shown in each Bank’s quarterly results. The percentage is basically the GNPA amount as a % of the total advances. Slippages: Slippages denote the fresh amount of loans that have turned bad in a year. The slippage ratio of a bank is calculated as Fresh accretion of NPAs during the year /Total standard assets at the beginning of the year multiplied by 100. Provisioning Coverage Ratio (PCR): This is the ratio of provisioning to GNPA and indicates the extent of funds a bank has kept aside to cover loan losses. For Instance, a company has GNPAs of Rs 100 and they have set aside 50 Rs, then the PCR is 50%. Net NPA (NNPA): The total figure left after deducting provisions made for bad loans from GNPA. (GNPA – Provisions+upgrades/writeoffs = NNPA) Special Mention Account (SMA) SMA-0 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 0 to 30 days. SMA-1 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 30-60 days. SMA-2 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 60-90 days

..... . VALI disclosures . .....

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Monday, December 1, 2025

01/12/25, Bullion News

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