..... . VALI disclosures . .....: 07/05/26, Stocks to BUY, SELL or HOLD Today: Brokerages remained selective on Indian equities today, backing stocks such as Polycab India, Shree Cement and Bajaj Auto with fresh "Buy" and "Overweight" calls.

Thursday, May 7, 2026

07/05/26, Stocks to BUY, SELL or HOLD Today: Brokerages remained selective on Indian equities today, backing stocks such as Polycab India, Shree Cement and Bajaj Auto with fresh "Buy" and "Overweight" calls.

Meanwhile, caution persisted on Kansai Nerolac Paints, SRF Ltd and Exide Industries as analysts flagged limited upside and valuation concerns despite broader optimism across industrial, auto and capital goods sectors.

Stock	Brokerage	Recommendation	Target Price (Rs)
Shree Cement	Elara Capital	Buy	31,171
Shree Cement	Emkay Global Financial Services	ADD	27,500
Shree Cement	Motilal Oswal Financial Services	Neutral	26,000
Home First Finance	Morgan Stanley	Overweight	1,560
Kansai Nerolac Paints	Morgan Stanley	Underweight	191
Polycab India	Elara Capital	Accumulate	8,920
Polycab India	Goldman Sachs	Neutral	8,140
Polycab India	Morgan Stanley	Overweight	8,707
Polycab India	Motilal Oswal Financial Services	Buy	9,800
Godrej Consumer Products	Morgan Stanley	Equal-weight	1,159
SRF Ltd	Morgan Stanley	Underweight	2,209
SRF Ltd	Emkay Global Financial Services	ADD	3,000
SRF Ltd	Nuvama Institutional Equities	BUY	3,402
KPIT Technologies	Goldman Sachs	Neutral	730
Shyam Metalics	Goldman Sachs	Buy	1,065
Paytm	Bernstein	Outperform	1,500
Mahindra & Mahindra	Bernstein	Outperform	4,200
Bajaj Auto	Emkay Global Financial Services	BUY	12,600
CG Power	Emkay Global Financial Services	BUY	875
CG Power	Motilal Oswal Financial Services	Buy	940
Firstsource Solutions	Emkay Global Financial Services	ADD	250
Shoppers Stop	Motilal Oswal Financial Services	Neutral	370
Alkyl Amines Chemicals	Motilal Oswal Financial Services	Neutral	1,720
Exide Industries	Motilal Oswal Financial Services	Neutral	327
Exide Industries	Nuvama Institutional Equities	REDUCE	300
PB Fintech	Motilal Oswal Financial Services	Neutral	1,870
Birlasoft	Emkay Global Financial Services	ADD	400
Hero MotoCorp	Emkay Global Financial Services	ADD	6,000
Hero MotoCorp	Nuvama Institutional Equities	BUY	6,000

Shree Cement Share Price Target 2026

'Elara Capital' maintains 'Buy' with a target of Rs 31,171
'Emkay Global Financial Services' downgrades to 'ADD' with a target of Rs 27,500
'Motilal Oswal Financial Services' maintains 'Neutral' with a target of Rs 26,000

Home First Finance Share Price Target 2026

'Morgan Stanley' maintains 'Overweight' with a target of Rs 1,560

Kansai Nerolac Paints Share Price Target 2026

'Morgan Stanley' maintains 'Underweight' with a target of Rs 191

Polycab India Share Price Target 2026

'Elara Capital' maintains 'Accumulate' with a target of Rs 8,920
'Goldman Sachs' maintains 'Neutral' with a target of Rs 8,140
'Morgan Stanley' maintains 'Overweight' with a target of Rs 8,707
'Motilal Oswal Financial Services' maintains 'Buy' with a target of Rs 9,800

Godrej Consumer Products Share Price Target 2026

'Morgan Stanley' maintains 'Equal-weight' with a target of Rs 1,159

SRF Ltd Share Price Target 2026

'Morgan Stanley' maintains 'Underweight' with a target of Rs 2,209
'Emkay Global Financial Services' maintains 'ADD' with a target of Rs 3,000
'Nuvama Institutional Equities' maintains 'BUY' with a target of Rs 3,402

KPIT Technologies Share Price Target 2026

'Goldman Sachs' maintains 'Neutral' with a target of Rs 730

Shyam Metalics Share Price Target 2026

'Goldman Sachs' maintains 'Buy' with a target of Rs 1,065

Paytm Share Price Target 2026

'Bernstein' maintains 'Outperform' with a target of Rs 1,500

Mahindra & Mahindra Share Price Target 2026

'Bernstein' maintains 'Outperform' with a target of Rs 4,200

Bajaj Auto Share Price Target 2026

'Emkay Global Financial Services' maintains 'BUY' with a target of Rs 12,600

CG Power Share Price Target 2026

'Emkay Global Financial Services' maintains 'BUY' with a target of Rs 875
'Motilal Oswal Financial Services' maintains 'Buy' with a target of Rs 940

Firstsource Solutions Share Price Target 2026

'Emkay Global Financial Services' maintains 'ADD' with a target of Rs 250

Shoppers Stop Share Price Target 2026

'Motilal Oswal Financial Services' maintains 'Neutral' with a target of Rs 370

Alkyl Amines Chemicals Share Price Target 2026

'Motilal Oswal Financial Services' maintains 'Neutral' with a target of Rs 1,720

Exide Industries Share Price Target 2026

'Motilal Oswal Financial Services' maintains 'Neutral' with a target of Rs 327
'Nuvama Institutional Equities' downgrades to 'REDUCE' with a target of Rs 300

PB Fintech Share Price Target 2026

'Motilal Oswal Financial Services' maintains 'Neutral' with a target of Rs 1,870

Birlasoft Share Price Target 2026

'Emkay Global Financial Services' maintains 'ADD' with a target of Rs 400

Hero MotoCorp Share Price Target 2026

'Emkay Global Financial Services' maintains 'ADD' with a target of Rs 6,000
'Nuvama Institutional Equities' maintains 'BUY' with a target of Rs 6,000
Source:EconomicTimes

(Disclaimer: The above article is meant for informational purposes only, and should not be considered as any investment advice. We suggest readers and investors to consult their financial advisors before making any money-related decisions.)

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Trade Cycles

The four important features of Trade Cycle are (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) Depression!

The trades cycle or business cycle are cyclical fluctuations of an economy. A full trade cycle has got four phases: (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) depression. The upward phase of a trade cycle or prosperity is divided into two stages—recovery and boom, and the downward phase of a trade cycle is also divided into two stages—recession and depression.

Phases of Trade Cycle:

The phases of trade cycle are explained with a diagram:

(1) Recovery:

In the early period of recovery, entrepreneurs increase the level of investment which in turn increases employment and income. Employment increases purchasing power and this leads to an increase in demand for consumer goods.

As a result, demand for goods will press upon their supply and it shall, thereby, lead to a rise in prices. The demand for consumer’s goods shall encourage the demand for producer’s goods.

The rise in prices shall depend upon the gestation period of investment. The longer the period of investment, the higher shall be the price rise. The rise of prices shall bring about a change in the distribution of income. Rent, wages, interest do not rise in the same proportion as prices.

Consequently, the margin of profit improves. The wholesale prices rise more than retail prices. The prices of raw materials rise more than the prices of semi-finished goods and the prices of semi-finished goods use more than the prices of finished goods.

(2) Boom:

The rate of investment increases still further. Owing to the spread of a wave of optimism in business, the level of production increases and the boom gathers momentum. More investment is possible only through credit creation. During a period of boom, the economy surpasses the level of full employment and enters a stage of over full employment.

(3) Recession:

The orders for raw materials are reduced on the onset of a recession. The rate of investment in producers’ goods industries and housing construction declines. Liquidity preference rises in society and owing to a contraction of money supply, the prices falls. A wave of pessimism spreads in business and those markets which were sometime before sellers markets become buyer’s markets now.

(4) Depression:

The main feature of a depression is a general fall in economic activity. Production, employment and income decline. The prices fall and the main factor responsible for it is, a fall in the purchasing power.

The distribution of national income changes. As the costs are rigid in nature, the margin of profit declines. Machines are not used to their full capacity in factories, because effective demand is much less. The prices of finished goods fall less than the prices of raw materials.

✳Reality Tips to Traders

1)Trading in the stock market is a marathon. 2)Protecting your capital is key. (Learn to protect first) 3)Making 0 on the day is better than losing 50k 4)Losses happen; they are part of this business. 5)It’s not you vs. the market. It’s you VS you. 6)You are your biggest enemy; learn to be mentally disciplined. 7)Don’t follow the majority; follow the correct path. 8)Traders without a stop loss end up not being traders for long. 9)There is always another trade. 10)The big money is made waiting for the right set-ups. 11)Waiting for the right trade is the most powerful strategy. 12)It is better to cut a loss than to wait to be proven right. 13)Position sizing can make or break you. 14)Worry about the downside before you even think about the upside. 15)Don’t listen to headlines

..BANKING TERMINOLOGY

There are various types of Banks: PSU Banks, Private Banks, Co-operative/Regional Banks, Small Finance Banks and Foreign Banks. When you deposit money in a bank, let's say the bank gives you an interest rate of 4%. But when the bank lends out this money, they lend it out at say, 12%. The difference of 8% in the above scenario is effectively the profit of the bank! The loans that do not pay interest for 90 days are known as Non-performing Assets. Banks have to provide for such bad loans. Structure of a Bank Asset for a Bank: The asset portion of a bank's capital includes cash, government securities, and interest-earning loans (e.g., mortgages, letters of credit, and inter-bank loans). Liabilities for a Bank: The bank's main liabilities are its capital (including cash reserves and, often, subordinated debt) and deposits. The latter may be from domestic or foreign sources (corporations and firms, private individuals, other banks, and even governments). Banks are required to maintain Liquidity with the Reserve Bank of India: SLR (Statutory Liquidity Ratio): It is the money a bank needs to preserve in the form of cash, gold or government Bonds before providing credit customers. This limitation is added by RBI on banks to make funds available to customers on-demand at your earliest convenience. Banks are required to maintain SLR at 18%. CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio): Banks are required to hold a certain proportion of their deposits in the form of cash. Banks don’t hold these as cash with themselves, but deposit such amounts with RBI / currency chests. CRR rate is at 4.5% currently. Repo Rate: The rate at which the RBI lends short-term money to the banks. The RBI through its Monetary Policy committee changes the repo rate to balance growth and Inflation. Reverse Repo rate: The rate at which banks park their short-term excess liquidity with the RBI. Now let us understand various terminologies for Banks Net Interest Income (NII): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is calculated as Interest Income – Interest Expended Net Interest Margin (NIM): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is the earning which is left after deducting the cost paid to depositors from its yields on Loans. This is denoted in % terms. The formula is Yield on Loans – Cost of funds Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR): The capital adequacy ratio (CAR) is a measure of a bank's available capital expressed as a percentage of a bank's risk-weighted credit exposures. Essentially, it is the Capital that is available to lend. Tier I Capital – In simple words this capital is freely available with the bank to lend out. Tier II Capital- This is the capital tied up somewhere and is less freely available to lend. In case of an adverse event, the bank can use this capital to lend. Under Basel III norms, a bank’s tier 1+tier 2 capital must be a minimum of 8% of its risk-weighted holdings. The minimum capital adequacy ratio, also including the capital conservation buffer, is 10.5%. Current Account Saving Account (CASA)- There is no interest paid on the Current Account and a small interest rate is paid on a savings account. The combination of both is called CASA which shows the liabilities of the bank on which it pays relatively less interest. Deposits: Bank deposits are a savings product that customers can use to hold an amount of money at a bank for a specified length of time. In return, the financial institution will pay the customer the relevant amount of interest, based on how much they choose to deposit and for how long. Now let us come to NPA. Gross NPA (GNPA): It is the total loans on which no payment has been paid for 90 days or more. GNPA % is usually shown in each Bank’s quarterly results. The percentage is basically the GNPA amount as a % of the total advances. Slippages: Slippages denote the fresh amount of loans that have turned bad in a year. The slippage ratio of a bank is calculated as Fresh accretion of NPAs during the year /Total standard assets at the beginning of the year multiplied by 100. Provisioning Coverage Ratio (PCR): This is the ratio of provisioning to GNPA and indicates the extent of funds a bank has kept aside to cover loan losses. For Instance, a company has GNPAs of Rs 100 and they have set aside 50 Rs, then the PCR is 50%. Net NPA (NNPA): The total figure left after deducting provisions made for bad loans from GNPA. (GNPA – Provisions+upgrades/writeoffs = NNPA) Special Mention Account (SMA) SMA-0 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 0 to 30 days. SMA-1 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 30-60 days. SMA-2 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 60-90 days

..... . VALI disclosures . .....

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Thursday, May 7, 2026

07/05/26, Stocks to BUY, SELL or HOLD Today: Brokerages remained selective on Indian equities today, backing stocks such as Polycab India, Shree Cement and Bajaj Auto with fresh "Buy" and "Overweight" calls.

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Today's

07/05/26, Stocks to BUY, SELL or HOLD Today: Brokerages remained selective on Indian equities today, backing stocks such as Polycab India, Shree Cement and Bajaj Auto with fresh "Buy" and "Overweight" calls.

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