..... . VALI disclosures . .....: 23/09/26, Intraday Market Information

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

23/09/26, Intraday Market Information

The benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty rebounded on Wednesday as oil prices fell for a sixth straight session.

At around 12:10 p.m., the Sensex was up 397.71 points or 0.53 percent at 74,926.79, while the broader Nifty advanced to 23,452, up 123 points or 0.53 percent.

All major Nifty sectoral indices gained, barring the IT sector. The Nifty Smallcap 100 and Nifty Midcap 100 rose 0.65 percent and 0.27 percent, respectively.

The metal index gained 1.2 percent, tracking a rise in metal prices aided by strong demand in top consumer China.

Key factors behind market rise

1) Decline in crude prices: Brent crude fell 1.1 percent to USD 98.2 a barrel, dropping for the sixth straight session, as Saudi Arabia began restoring crude supply on a critical pipeline to the Red Sea and on hopes for a diplomatic solution to the US-Iran war through talks at the UN in New York.

"The moderation in crude prices offers some relief on the broader macroeconomic front, particularly for India given its dependence on imported energy," Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, an online trading and wealth-tech firm, said.

2) Strong global cues: US equities ended mixed on Tuesday, but technology stocks continued to outperform as enthusiasm around artificial intelligence supported Micron Technology and other AI-related names. Continued strength in US technology shares has spilled over into Asian markets.

The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.45 percent to 27,244.28, marking its second consecutive record closing high.

Asian equities advanced as continued optimism around artificial intelligence supported technology stocks. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan gained 0.7 percent, extending its winning streak to six sessions. South Korean equities climbed 1.2 percent, while Taiwan gained 0.9 percent and traded near record highs.

Wall Street futures also traded higher, indicating a firm start to US equities.

"Overnight global cues offer little conviction. Wall Street ended mixed, with technology stocks supporting the Nasdaq while the Dow closed lower. Brent crude has recovered to around USD 99 a barrel after briefly slipping below USD 98. The retreat in crude prices has eased some pressure on India's inflation and external balances, but that relief remains vulnerable to renewed geopolitical escalation," Hariselvan Radhakrishnan, Founder & CEO of HST Wealth, a Research Analyst firm, said.

3) Rupee rises: The rupee gained 5 paise to 95.57 against the US dollar, supported by falling crude oil prices and a broader recovery in Asian currencies. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 95.58 and touched 95.57 against the American currency, registering a gain of 5 paise from its previous close.

4) Decline in India Vix: The fear gauge, or volatility index, declined nearly 6 percent to 10.36 levels. A fall in India VIX indicates lower expected market volatility and suggests reduced near-term uncertainty among investors.

Among stocks, Clean Max Enviro Energy gained 4 percent after Macquarie initiated coverage with an "outperform" rating and projected an implied upside of 26.3 percent, citing a steady earnings outlook.

BajajFinance gained 2.2 percent after UBS upgraded the non-bank lender to "neutral" from "sell" and raised its price target, projecting cyclical earnings upgrades.

Technical Outlook

Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said, "Nifty 50 opened just above its previous close near the 23,352 mark and continues to trade within the previous session's range, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. The index remains in a cautious phase, with sustained buying yet to emerge at higher levels. The 23,500 level remains an important hurdle; a sustained and decisive breakout above this zone could improve the near-term technical structure and support a recovery toward the 23,600 region."

"On the downside, the 23,300 zone remains the immediate support, followed by the 23,200–23,100 zone. Momentum has shown a gradual improvement, with the RSI edging higher and hovering around 38. However, it remains in weak territory, suggesting that the recovery is still developing and requires stronger buying participation for confirmation," he added

Report by Paras Bist

Source:Network18

No comments:

Trade Cycles

The four important features of Trade Cycle are (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) Depression!

The trades cycle or business cycle are cyclical fluctuations of an economy. A full trade cycle has got four phases: (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) depression. The upward phase of a trade cycle or prosperity is divided into two stages—recovery and boom, and the downward phase of a trade cycle is also divided into two stages—recession and depression.

Phases of Trade Cycle:

The phases of trade cycle are explained with a diagram:

(1) Recovery:

In the early period of recovery, entrepreneurs increase the level of investment which in turn increases employment and income. Employment increases purchasing power and this leads to an increase in demand for consumer goods.

As a result, demand for goods will press upon their supply and it shall, thereby, lead to a rise in prices. The demand for consumer’s goods shall encourage the demand for producer’s goods.

The rise in prices shall depend upon the gestation period of investment. The longer the period of investment, the higher shall be the price rise. The rise of prices shall bring about a change in the distribution of income. Rent, wages, interest do not rise in the same proportion as prices.

Consequently, the margin of profit improves. The wholesale prices rise more than retail prices. The prices of raw materials rise more than the prices of semi-finished goods and the prices of semi-finished goods use more than the prices of finished goods.

(2) Boom:

The rate of investment increases still further. Owing to the spread of a wave of optimism in business, the level of production increases and the boom gathers momentum. More investment is possible only through credit creation. During a period of boom, the economy surpasses the level of full employment and enters a stage of over full employment.

(3) Recession:

The orders for raw materials are reduced on the onset of a recession. The rate of investment in producers’ goods industries and housing construction declines. Liquidity preference rises in society and owing to a contraction of money supply, the prices falls. A wave of pessimism spreads in business and those markets which were sometime before sellers markets become buyer’s markets now.

(4) Depression:

The main feature of a depression is a general fall in economic activity. Production, employment and income decline. The prices fall and the main factor responsible for it is, a fall in the purchasing power.

The distribution of national income changes. As the costs are rigid in nature, the margin of profit declines. Machines are not used to their full capacity in factories, because effective demand is much less. The prices of finished goods fall less than the prices of raw materials.

✳Reality Tips to Traders

1)Trading in the stock market is a marathon. 2)Protecting your capital is key. (Learn to protect first) 3)Making 0 on the day is better than losing 50k 4)Losses happen; they are part of this business. 5)It’s not you vs. the market. It’s you VS you. 6)You are your biggest enemy; learn to be mentally disciplined. 7)Don’t follow the majority; follow the correct path. 8)Traders without a stop loss end up not being traders for long. 9)There is always another trade. 10)The big money is made waiting for the right set-ups. 11)Waiting for the right trade is the most powerful strategy. 12)It is better to cut a loss than to wait to be proven right. 13)Position sizing can make or break you. 14)Worry about the downside before you even think about the upside. 15)Don’t listen to headlines

..BANKING TERMINOLOGY

There are various types of Banks: PSU Banks, Private Banks, Co-operative/Regional Banks, Small Finance Banks and Foreign Banks. When you deposit money in a bank, let's say the bank gives you an interest rate of 4%. But when the bank lends out this money, they lend it out at say, 12%. The difference of 8% in the above scenario is effectively the profit of the bank! The loans that do not pay interest for 90 days are known as Non-performing Assets. Banks have to provide for such bad loans. Structure of a Bank Asset for a Bank: The asset portion of a bank's capital includes cash, government securities, and interest-earning loans (e.g., mortgages, letters of credit, and inter-bank loans). Liabilities for a Bank: The bank's main liabilities are its capital (including cash reserves and, often, subordinated debt) and deposits. The latter may be from domestic or foreign sources (corporations and firms, private individuals, other banks, and even governments). Banks are required to maintain Liquidity with the Reserve Bank of India: SLR (Statutory Liquidity Ratio): It is the money a bank needs to preserve in the form of cash, gold or government Bonds before providing credit customers. This limitation is added by RBI on banks to make funds available to customers on-demand at your earliest convenience. Banks are required to maintain SLR at 18%. CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio): Banks are required to hold a certain proportion of their deposits in the form of cash. Banks don’t hold these as cash with themselves, but deposit such amounts with RBI / currency chests. CRR rate is at 4.5% currently. Repo Rate: The rate at which the RBI lends short-term money to the banks. The RBI through its Monetary Policy committee changes the repo rate to balance growth and Inflation. Reverse Repo rate: The rate at which banks park their short-term excess liquidity with the RBI. Now let us understand various terminologies for Banks Net Interest Income (NII): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is calculated as Interest Income – Interest Expended Net Interest Margin (NIM): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is the earning which is left after deducting the cost paid to depositors from its yields on Loans. This is denoted in % terms. The formula is Yield on Loans – Cost of funds Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR): The capital adequacy ratio (CAR) is a measure of a bank's available capital expressed as a percentage of a bank's risk-weighted credit exposures. Essentially, it is the Capital that is available to lend. Tier I Capital – In simple words this capital is freely available with the bank to lend out. Tier II Capital- This is the capital tied up somewhere and is less freely available to lend. In case of an adverse event, the bank can use this capital to lend. Under Basel III norms, a bank’s tier 1+tier 2 capital must be a minimum of 8% of its risk-weighted holdings. The minimum capital adequacy ratio, also including the capital conservation buffer, is 10.5%. Current Account Saving Account (CASA)- There is no interest paid on the Current Account and a small interest rate is paid on a savings account. The combination of both is called CASA which shows the liabilities of the bank on which it pays relatively less interest. Deposits: Bank deposits are a savings product that customers can use to hold an amount of money at a bank for a specified length of time. In return, the financial institution will pay the customer the relevant amount of interest, based on how much they choose to deposit and for how long. Now let us come to NPA. Gross NPA (GNPA): It is the total loans on which no payment has been paid for 90 days or more. GNPA % is usually shown in each Bank’s quarterly results. The percentage is basically the GNPA amount as a % of the total advances. Slippages: Slippages denote the fresh amount of loans that have turned bad in a year. The slippage ratio of a bank is calculated as Fresh accretion of NPAs during the year /Total standard assets at the beginning of the year multiplied by 100. Provisioning Coverage Ratio (PCR): This is the ratio of provisioning to GNPA and indicates the extent of funds a bank has kept aside to cover loan losses. For Instance, a company has GNPAs of Rs 100 and they have set aside 50 Rs, then the PCR is 50%. Net NPA (NNPA): The total figure left after deducting provisions made for bad loans from GNPA. (GNPA – Provisions+upgrades/writeoffs = NNPA) Special Mention Account (SMA) SMA-0 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 0 to 30 days. SMA-1 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 30-60 days. SMA-2 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 60-90 days

..... . VALI disclosures . .....

Pages

logo

Wednesday, September 23, 2026

23/09/26, Intraday Market Information

Key factors behind market rise

Technical Outlook

No comments:

Today's

23/09/26, Intraday Market Information

.

Translate