..... . VALI disclosures . .....: 14/10/26, PostMarket REPORT

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

14/10/26, PostMarket REPORT

Indian benchmark indices witnessed profit booking on October 14 as rising crude oil prices and persistent foreign investor outflows weighed on sentiment.

After witnessing a muted first half, the market came under pressure in the afternoon session dragging Nifty to the day's low 22,558.95, however, some buying in IT, FMCG names help to trim the losses.

At close, the Sensex was down 251.89 points or 0.34 percent at 72,781.89, and the Nifty was down 99.25 points or 0.44 percent at 22,622.70.

Among broader indices, the Nifty midcap and smallcap indices ended with marginal losses.

Shriram Finance, HDFC Life, Bajaj Finserv, Bajaj Finance, SBI Life Insurance were among top Nifty losers, while gainers were Infosys, Nestle, Tech Mahindra, Tata Consumer and Coal India.

Among sectors Information Technology, Energy, Oil & Gas, Media and FMCG up 0.5-1 percent, while Auto, Metal, Pharma, Realty, Private Bank down 0.5-1.7 percen

Among individual stocks, Hero Motors shares rose 2 percent and Tata Elxsi gained 5 percent after reporting strong Q2 earnings. Ahluwalia Contracts India added 2 percent after securing an order worth Rs 310 crore in Greater Noida.

Bharat Coking Coal jumped 4 percent after increasing prices of select raw coking coal grades, Den Networks declined more than 3 percent as Q2 revenue fell year-on-year. Bank of Baroda shed 3.5 percent after BR Shetty sought $15 billion in damages from the lender and 25 other defendants.

Among other stocks, SS Retail surged 9 percent, while Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers fell 5 percent following their Q2 results.

Transformers and Rectifiers India jumped 14 percent after reporting a 135.3 percent year-on-year surge in Q2 profit. GTPL Hathway fell 4 percent after reporting a Q2 loss.

The Indian rupee erased some of its intraday gains and ended 13 paise higher at 95.15 per dollar, compared with the previous close of 95.28.

Outlook for October 15

Shrikant Chouhan, Head Equity Research, Kotak Neo

Today, benchmark indices witnessed profit booking at higher levels. The Nifty ended 99 points lower, while the Sensex was down by 252 points. Among the sectors, the Energy index gained the most, rallying nearly 1.5 percent, while the Pharma and Healthcare indices shed over 1 percent.

Technically, after a muted open, the market faced resistance near 22,750/73200 and reversed sharply. It also formed a bearish candle on the daily chart. We believe 22,500/72500 and 22,450/72300 remain strong support levels for the market. As long as the market trades above these levels, a pullback is likely to continue.

On the upside, 22,750–22,800/73200-73500 will act as a key resistance zone for the bulls. A successful breakout above 22,800/73500 could push the market toward 23,000/74000. Conversely, a fall below 22,450/72300 would make the uptrend vulnerable. Below this level, traders may consider exiting their long positions.

Sudeep Shah, Head - Technical and Derivatives Research at SBI Securities

On Wednesday, Nifty traded within a range of nearly 200 points, marking the narrowest trading range in the past four sessions. Following the previous session's short-covering rally, the index attempted to extend its gains but failed to sustain the momentum and closed 0.43% lower. Nifty has been consolidating for the past 11 trading sessions, witnessing volatile swings on both sides. On the daily timeframe, the index formed a bearish-bodied candle with upper and lower wicks, indicating indecision and a lack of clear directional conviction amid continued volatility.

Going forward, the 22500–22480 zone could act as immediate support. A decisive break below this zone could revive downside momentum towards 22330. On the upside, 22770–22800 could act as an immediate hurdle. A sustained move above this zone could extend the pullback rally towards 22950. Until a decisive breakout emerges, the index is likely to remain range-bound, with the broader structure still cautious.

Written by Rakesh Patil

Source: Network18

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts here are their own and not those of us. We advise readers and Traders to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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Trade Cycles

The four important features of Trade Cycle are (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) Depression!

The trades cycle or business cycle are cyclical fluctuations of an economy. A full trade cycle has got four phases: (i) Recovery, (ii) Boom, (iii) Recession, and (iv) depression. The upward phase of a trade cycle or prosperity is divided into two stages—recovery and boom, and the downward phase of a trade cycle is also divided into two stages—recession and depression.

Phases of Trade Cycle:

The phases of trade cycle are explained with a diagram:

(1) Recovery:

In the early period of recovery, entrepreneurs increase the level of investment which in turn increases employment and income. Employment increases purchasing power and this leads to an increase in demand for consumer goods.

As a result, demand for goods will press upon their supply and it shall, thereby, lead to a rise in prices. The demand for consumer’s goods shall encourage the demand for producer’s goods.

The rise in prices shall depend upon the gestation period of investment. The longer the period of investment, the higher shall be the price rise. The rise of prices shall bring about a change in the distribution of income. Rent, wages, interest do not rise in the same proportion as prices.

Consequently, the margin of profit improves. The wholesale prices rise more than retail prices. The prices of raw materials rise more than the prices of semi-finished goods and the prices of semi-finished goods use more than the prices of finished goods.

(2) Boom:

The rate of investment increases still further. Owing to the spread of a wave of optimism in business, the level of production increases and the boom gathers momentum. More investment is possible only through credit creation. During a period of boom, the economy surpasses the level of full employment and enters a stage of over full employment.

(3) Recession:

The orders for raw materials are reduced on the onset of a recession. The rate of investment in producers’ goods industries and housing construction declines. Liquidity preference rises in society and owing to a contraction of money supply, the prices falls. A wave of pessimism spreads in business and those markets which were sometime before sellers markets become buyer’s markets now.

(4) Depression:

The main feature of a depression is a general fall in economic activity. Production, employment and income decline. The prices fall and the main factor responsible for it is, a fall in the purchasing power.

The distribution of national income changes. As the costs are rigid in nature, the margin of profit declines. Machines are not used to their full capacity in factories, because effective demand is much less. The prices of finished goods fall less than the prices of raw materials.

✳Reality Tips to Traders

1)Trading in the stock market is a marathon. 2)Protecting your capital is key. (Learn to protect first) 3)Making 0 on the day is better than losing 50k 4)Losses happen; they are part of this business. 5)It’s not you vs. the market. It’s you VS you. 6)You are your biggest enemy; learn to be mentally disciplined. 7)Don’t follow the majority; follow the correct path. 8)Traders without a stop loss end up not being traders for long. 9)There is always another trade. 10)The big money is made waiting for the right set-ups. 11)Waiting for the right trade is the most powerful strategy. 12)It is better to cut a loss than to wait to be proven right. 13)Position sizing can make or break you. 14)Worry about the downside before you even think about the upside. 15)Don’t listen to headlines

..BANKING TERMINOLOGY

There are various types of Banks: PSU Banks, Private Banks, Co-operative/Regional Banks, Small Finance Banks and Foreign Banks. When you deposit money in a bank, let's say the bank gives you an interest rate of 4%. But when the bank lends out this money, they lend it out at say, 12%. The difference of 8% in the above scenario is effectively the profit of the bank! The loans that do not pay interest for 90 days are known as Non-performing Assets. Banks have to provide for such bad loans. Structure of a Bank Asset for a Bank: The asset portion of a bank's capital includes cash, government securities, and interest-earning loans (e.g., mortgages, letters of credit, and inter-bank loans). Liabilities for a Bank: The bank's main liabilities are its capital (including cash reserves and, often, subordinated debt) and deposits. The latter may be from domestic or foreign sources (corporations and firms, private individuals, other banks, and even governments). Banks are required to maintain Liquidity with the Reserve Bank of India: SLR (Statutory Liquidity Ratio): It is the money a bank needs to preserve in the form of cash, gold or government Bonds before providing credit customers. This limitation is added by RBI on banks to make funds available to customers on-demand at your earliest convenience. Banks are required to maintain SLR at 18%. CRR (Cash Reserve Ratio): Banks are required to hold a certain proportion of their deposits in the form of cash. Banks don’t hold these as cash with themselves, but deposit such amounts with RBI / currency chests. CRR rate is at 4.5% currently. Repo Rate: The rate at which the RBI lends short-term money to the banks. The RBI through its Monetary Policy committee changes the repo rate to balance growth and Inflation. Reverse Repo rate: The rate at which banks park their short-term excess liquidity with the RBI. Now let us understand various terminologies for Banks Net Interest Income (NII): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is calculated as Interest Income – Interest Expended Net Interest Margin (NIM): This is the spread the bank makes on its lending. It is the earning which is left after deducting the cost paid to depositors from its yields on Loans. This is denoted in % terms. The formula is Yield on Loans – Cost of funds Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR): The capital adequacy ratio (CAR) is a measure of a bank's available capital expressed as a percentage of a bank's risk-weighted credit exposures. Essentially, it is the Capital that is available to lend. Tier I Capital – In simple words this capital is freely available with the bank to lend out. Tier II Capital- This is the capital tied up somewhere and is less freely available to lend. In case of an adverse event, the bank can use this capital to lend. Under Basel III norms, a bank’s tier 1+tier 2 capital must be a minimum of 8% of its risk-weighted holdings. The minimum capital adequacy ratio, also including the capital conservation buffer, is 10.5%. Current Account Saving Account (CASA)- There is no interest paid on the Current Account and a small interest rate is paid on a savings account. The combination of both is called CASA which shows the liabilities of the bank on which it pays relatively less interest. Deposits: Bank deposits are a savings product that customers can use to hold an amount of money at a bank for a specified length of time. In return, the financial institution will pay the customer the relevant amount of interest, based on how much they choose to deposit and for how long. Now let us come to NPA. Gross NPA (GNPA): It is the total loans on which no payment has been paid for 90 days or more. GNPA % is usually shown in each Bank’s quarterly results. The percentage is basically the GNPA amount as a % of the total advances. Slippages: Slippages denote the fresh amount of loans that have turned bad in a year. The slippage ratio of a bank is calculated as Fresh accretion of NPAs during the year /Total standard assets at the beginning of the year multiplied by 100. Provisioning Coverage Ratio (PCR): This is the ratio of provisioning to GNPA and indicates the extent of funds a bank has kept aside to cover loan losses. For Instance, a company has GNPAs of Rs 100 and they have set aside 50 Rs, then the PCR is 50%. Net NPA (NNPA): The total figure left after deducting provisions made for bad loans from GNPA. (GNPA – Provisions+upgrades/writeoffs = NNPA) Special Mention Account (SMA) SMA-0 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 0 to 30 days. SMA-1 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 30-60 days. SMA-2 is a category in which stress with respect to the principal and interest has remained overdue for a period of 60-90 days

..... . VALI disclosures . .....

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Wednesday, October 14, 2026

14/10/26, PostMarket REPORT

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